Program

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Sunday, September 24

9:00 AM - 10:00 AM  Certified Business Economist^® Breakfast
(CBE-only event)
Center Street A

10:00 AM - 10:45 AM  Skills Seminar: Tools of Advanced Analytics & Artificial Intelligence
Hope D
Kenneth Sanford, U.S. Lead Analytics Architect, Dataiku

10:45 AM - 11:45 AM  The Changing Face of U.S. Retail: Consumers, Employees, Technologies  
Hope D
Bala Ganesh, Vice President, Marketing, UPS
Stephen Laughlin, Vice President & General Manager, Global Consumer Industry, IBM
Linda Vytlacil, Vice President, Retail Analytics, Walmart Stores, Inc.

11:45 AM - 1:10 PM  Keynote Luncheon
Hope E
Austan D. Goolsbee, Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Introduction: Nela Richardson, Chief Economist, Redfin

Presentation of Adolph G. Abramson Award, Abramson Scroll,
Edmund A. Mennis Contributed Paper Award, and the NABE Outlook Award

1:15 PM - 2:15 PM  NBER Session: Future of Work and the Impact of Automation
Hope D
David J. Deming, Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School;
Professor of Education and Economics, Harvard Graduate School of Education
John Van Reenen, Professor of Applied Economics, MIT Sloan School of Management
Moderator: Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, Chief Economist, National Retail Federation

2:20 PM - 3:20 PM  Concurrent Sessions I

        A. The Rise of the Economists: The Pivotal Roles Played by Economists at Tech Firms
       Hope D
        Carolyn Evans, Senior Data Scientist, Intel Corporation
        Igor Popov, Economist, Airbnb
        Steve Tadelis, Professor of Economics, Business and Public Policy, Haas School of Business - UC Berkeley
        Moderator: Issi Romem, Chief Economist, BuildZoom

        B. Commercial Real Estate in a  Changing Economy
        Center Street A
        Jim Costello, Senior Vice President, Real Capital Analytics
        Prashant Tewari, Chief Investment Strategist, Townsend Group   
        Moderator: Sara Rutledge, Director of Research, NCREIF

        C. Presentation of Edmund A. Mennis Award-Winning Papers
        Center Street B
       
        America's Online Jobs: Measurements and Influencing Factors
        Christopher Hooton, Chief Economist, Internet Association

        Quantifying the Housing Recovery: Which MSAs are Experiencing Bubbles?
        Azhar Iqbal, Director and Econometrician, Wells Fargo
        Mark Vitner, CBE, Senior Economist and Managing Director, Wells Fargo  
 
        Moderator: Charles Steindel, CBE, Editor, Business Economics

3:20 PM - 3:50 PM  Networking Break
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

3:50 PM - 4:45 PM  Policy Implications of Global Demographic Changes
Hope D
Karen Dynan, former Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy and Chief Economist, U.S. Treasury Department; Professor of the Practice, Harvard University 
Jason Fichtner, Senior Research Fellow, Mercatus Center at George Mason University
Moderator: Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives, LLC

4:45 PM - 5:15 PM  NABE Presidential Address: Business Economics in a Post-Truth Era
Hope D
Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, 2016-17 NABE President; Executive Director, The Group of Thirty 

5:15 PM - 5:25 PM  $26 Oil and Hurricane Harvey: What's Next for Houston?
Hope D
Patrick Jankowski, Senior Vice President, Research, Greater Houston Partnership

5:25 PM - 5:45 PM  NABE Business Meeting
Hope D

6:30 PM - 8:00 PM  Reception at the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame
Hosted by KPMG

Rock & Roll Hall of Fame
1100 E. 9th Street
Cleveland, OH 
(Museum open to NABE attendees until 9:00 PM)

Attendees will walk to the reception (15 mins). Exit out of hotel lobby, turn right on Lakeside Ave., left on 9th Street.

Monday, September 25

7:00 AM - 8:00 AM  Continental Breakfast
Hosted by Fannie Mae
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

8:00 AM - 8:45 AM  Between Debt and the Devil: Money, Credit, and Fixing Global Finance
Hope D
Lord Adair Turner, former Chairman, UK Financial Services Authority; Chairman, Institute for New Economic Thinking
Moderator: Rich Brown, CBE, Chief Economist, Associate Director, Division of Insurance and Research, FDIC

8:45 AM - 9:45 AM  Drivers of Political Shifts Across Advanced Economies
Hope D
Peter K. Schott, Juan Trippe Professor of Economics, Yale School of Management
Luigi Zingales, Robert C. McCormack Distinguished Service Professor of Entrepreneurship and Finance and Charles M. Harper Faculty Fellow, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Moderator: Sree Ramaswamy, Partner, McKinsey Global Institute

9:45 AM - 10:00 AM  NABE Outlook
Hope D
Mine Yücel, CBE, 2016-17 NABE Vice President; Senior Vice President and Research Director, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

10:00 AM - 10:30 AM  Networking Break
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

10:30 AM - 11:15 AM  A View from the Cleveland Clinic
Hope D
Toby Cosgrove, CEO, Cleveland Clinic
Moderator: Paul Hughes-Cromwick, CBE, Center for Sustainable Health Spending, Altarum

11:15 AM - 12:00 PM  Global Economic Challenges and Opportunities
Hope D
Tao Zhang, Deputy Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
Moderator: Manuel Balmaseda, CBE, Global Chief Economist, CEMEX

12:00 PM - 1:30 PM  Luncheon & Presentation of the 2017 Adam Smith Award
Hope E
Raghuram Rajan, former Governor, Reserve Bank of India; Katherine Dusak Miller Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Introduction: Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, 2016-17 NABE President; Executive Director, The Group of Thirty 

Presentation of NABE Fellows
Recognition of Retiring Directors

1:35 PM - 2:35 PM  Concurrent Sessions II

        A. New Platforms and Business Models and the Changing Capital Structure of Housing
            Hope D
            Igor Popov, Economist, Airbnb
            Nela Richardson, Chief Economist, Redfin
            James (Jim) Riccitelli, Co-CEO, Unison Home Ownership
            Moderator: Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President of Research, National Association of REALTORS®

        B. Outlook for the Global Supply Chain in the Decade Ahead 
             Center Street A
             Thomas W. Derry, Chief Executive Officer, Institute for Supply Management (ISM)
             Mike A. Jackson, Executive Director, Original Equipment Suppliers Association (OESA)
             Susan Helper, Frank Tracy Carlton Professor of Economics, Case Western Reserve University
             Moderator: Martha Moore, CBE, Senior Director for Policy Analysis and Economics, American Chemistry Council

        C. Productivity in the Healthcare Sector: Can We Boost It?
            Center Street B
            Mikkael Sekeres, Director, Leukemia Program; Vice-Chair for Clinical Research,
            Cleveland Clinic Taussig Cancer Institute
            Mark Votruba, Associate Professor, Center for Healthcare Research and Policy,
            Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine
            Moderator: Sarah House, Economist, Wells Fargo Securities

2:35 PM - 3:00 PM  Networking Break
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

3:00 PM - 4:00 PM  Concurrent Sessions III

        A. The Shift to a Smaller Fed Balance Sheet: Mechanics and Impact
             Hope D
             Seth Carpenter, Managing Director and Chief U.S. Economist, UBS
             Julie Remache, ‎Senior Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York 
             Moderator: Ellen Zentner, Managing Director, Chief U.S. Economist, Morgan Stanley

        B. Prioritizing Infrastructure Investment
             Center Street A
             Chad Shirley, Deputy Assistant Director, Microeconomic Studies Division, Congressional Budget Office
             Adie Tomer, Head of The Metropolitan Infrastructure Initiative, The Brookings Institution             
             Frederick Treyz, CEO and Chief Economist, Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI)
             Moderator: Ken Simonson, Chief Economist, The Associated General Contractors of America

        C. Regional Perspectives on the Future of Global Trade
             Center Street B
             Peter Hall, Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
             Roger Josefsson, Chief Economist, Macrobond
             Arup Raha, Chief Economist and Head of Research, RHB Banking Group
             Moderator: Kevin Swift, CBE, Chief Economist, American Chemistry Council

4:05 PM - 5:00 PM  Business Perspectives on the Economic Outlook
Hope D
Gary R. Heminger, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Richard Smucker, Executive Chairman, J.M. Smucker Corporation
Moderator: Mark Schweitzer, Senior Vice President, External Outreach & Regional Analytics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

5:00 PM - 5:50 PM Measuring the Economy with New Data
Alberto Cavallo, Co-founder, Billion Prices Project, Professor of Information Technology and Management, MIT
John Han, Head of Research and Analysis, Orbital Insight
Moderator: Jed Kolko, Chief Economist, Indeed

6:15 PM - 7:30 PM  Reception hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
1455 E. 6th Street
Cleveland, OH

Attendees will walk to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (8 mins). Right on Lakeside, right on Mall, left on Rockwell, right on 6th. Please use the Superior Avenue entrance. Must present current driver’s license or government-issued photo ID at security.

7:30 PM  Small Group Dinners 
Area Restaurants
Pre-registration required. Dinner groups will meet at the conclusion of the FRB Cleveland reception. Look for dinner hosts holding topic signs. Groups will walk together to the restaurants.

9:00 PM Get Connected Networking Meetup
Bar 32
Located on the 32nd floor, Hilton Cleveland Downtown

Tuesday, September 26

7:30 AM - 8:00 AM  Continental Breakfast
Hosted by Alliance for Market Solutions
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

8:00 AM - 8:45 AM  A View from KeyCorp
Hope D
Beth Mooney, Chairman and CEO, KeyCorp
Moderator: Constance Hunter, CBE, Chief Economist, KPMG

8:45 AM - 9:30 AM  Outlook for Tax Reform
Hope D
Martin Feldstein, George F. Baker Professor of Economics, Harvard University
Moderator: Stuart G. Hoffman, CBE, Senior Economic Advisor, The PNC Financial Services Group

9:30 AM - 10:20 AM  Global Outlook
Hope D
Gregory Daco, Chief U.S. Economist, Oxford Economics

10:20 AM - 10:50 AM  Networking Break
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

10:50 AM - 11:50 AM  Concurrent Sessions IV

        A. Blockchain as a Disruptor: Implications for Central Banks, Governments, and Businesses
            Presented by CFA Society Cleveland and NABE       
            Hope D    
            David Andolfatto, Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
            Christopher Calicott, Managing Director, Trammell Venture Partners
            Pete Martin, CEO, Votem
            Moderator: Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, CBE, Director of Research - Global Asset Allocation, Fidelity Investments

        B. Peak Oil Demand: Timing and Implications
            Center Street A
            Antoine Halff, Senior Research Scholar, Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University
            Ken Medlock, Senior Director, Center for Energy Studies, Rice University's Baker Institute for Public Policy
            Scott Nyquist, Senior Partner, McKinsey & Company
            Moderator: Marianne Kah, Chief Economist, ConocoPhilips

        C.  U.S. Small Business and Prospects for Growth
             Center Street B
             Michael E. Goldberg, Assistant Professor, Weatherhead School of Management, Case Western Reserve University
             Marty Mitchell, CEO, Mitchell & Best Homes
             Mark Schweitzer, Senior Vice President, External Outreach & Regional Analytics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
             Moderator: Holly Wade, Director of Research and Policy Analysis, National Federation of Independent Business
            
11:50 AM - 1:30 PM  Keynote Luncheon Address: Inflation, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy
Superior Ballroom D (5th Floor)
Janet Yellen, Chair, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Moderator: Chris Varvares, CBE, Senior Managing Director and Co-founder, Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC

1:30 PM - 2:00 PM  Networking Break
Hosted by Haver Analytics
Exhibit Space, Hope A-C

2:00 PM - 2:45 PM  A View from the Trump Administration
Hope D
Mick Mulvaney, Director, U.S. Office of Management and Budget
Moderator: Lynn Reaser, CBE, Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University

2:45 PM - 3:45 PM  Planes, Cranes, and Automobiles: Future of Manufacturing
Hope D
Nicolas Clerc, Chief Economist, Caterpillar
Jan Hogrefe, Chief Economist, Boeing Commercial Airplanes
Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company
Moderator: Arun Raha, CBE, Chief Economist, Eaton Corporation

3:45 PM  Adjourn