Program
Pre-Conference Events
Saturday, September 10
3:30 PM - 6:00 PM Tour of World of Coca-Cola*
(Bus leaves hotel 3:45 PM. NABE conference attendees enter free of charge; public transportation also an option, last entry for the tour at 5:00 PM. Second bus leaves hotel for reception at 5:30 PM)
6:15 PM - 7:45 PM President’s Welcome Reception hosted by Coca-Cola*
World of Coca-Cola
121 Baker Street NW
Atlanta, GA
*RSVP required for tour and reception. Shuttle transportation provided from hotel. Public transportation (MARTA) or taxi also available.
7:00 PM - 10:00 PM Baseball Game: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets*
Turner Field
755 Hank Aaron Drive SE
Atlanta, GA
*Separate registration required; transportation not provided to the game.
Sunday, September 11
8:30 AM - 9:30 AM Certified Business Economist Networking Breakfast (CBE-only event)
Ravinia
9:30 AM - 10:30 AM Skills Seminar: Data Visualization
Ellington Ballroom
Rahul C. Basole, Associate Professor, College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology
Moderator: Sara Rutledge, Director of Research, NCREIF
10:30 AM - 11:30 AM Structural Reform, Tax Reform, and Increased Investment: The Keys to Jumpstarting the US and Global Economies?
Ellington Ballroom
Álvaro Santos Pereira, Director of the Country Studies Branch, OECD
Jorge Sicilia, Chief Economist, BBVA Group
Moderator: Chris Varvares, CBE, Senior Managing Director and Co-Founder, Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
11:30 AM - 1:15 PM Adam Smith Award Luncheon
Mercer Ballroom
William R. White, Chairman of the Economic and Development Review Committee (EDRC), OECD
Moderator: Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, CBE, 2015-16 NABE President; Director of Research – Global Asset Allocation, Fidelity Investments
Presentation of NABE Adam Smith Award to William R. White
Induction of 2016 Class of Certified Business Economists
1:20 PM - 2:20 PM Concurrent Sessions I
A. The Great Urban Migration: Separating Myth from Fact
Ellington Ballroom A-C
Jed Kolko, Chief Economist, Indeed
Issi Romem, Chief Economist, BuildZoom
Moderator: Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director, Moody's Analytics
B. Labor Market Effects of the Affordable Care Act
Ellington Ballroom D
Amy Crews Cutts, CBE, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Equifax
Casey Mulligan, Professor of Economics, University of Chicago
Moderator: Chris Jackson, Research Assistant in Research and Policy, Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
C. The Future of Mobility: From Planes, Trains, and Automobiles to Bikes, Ridesharing, and Driverless Cars
Ellington Ballroom E-F
Egil Juliussen, Senior Director & Analyst, Automotive Technology, IHS Markit
Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company
Moderator: Tim Mullaly, Chief Economist, FedEx
2:20 PM - 2:45 PM Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer
2:45 PM - 3:40 PM Understanding Productivity Growth: New Evidence and Insights
Ellington Ballroom
Dan Sichel, Professor of Economics, Wellesley College
Chad Syverson, J. Baum Harris Professor of Economics, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Moderator: Jim Poterba, President, NBER
Presented by NBER
3:40 PM - 4:35 PM How Will Economic Historians Treat the Obama Years - 2009-2017?
Ellington Ballroom
Michael Strain, Director of Economic Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute
Justin Wolfers, Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Michigan
Moderator: Howard Schneider, Federal Reserve Correspondent, Reuters
4:35 PM - 5:30 PM New World Order in Oil Markets
Ellington Ballroom
Jeff Currie, Senior Commodity Analyst, GoldmanSachs
Bob McNally, Founder and President, The Rapidan Group
Mark Schwartz, President, PIRA
Moderator: Marianne Kah, Chief Economist, ConocoPhillips
6:00 PM - 7:30 PM Offsite Reception
NBA Studio - Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. (TBS)
1050 Techwood Drive NW
Atlanta, GA
Walk or take shuttle bus provided from Loews hotel lobby at 5:45 PM.
Monday, September 12
7:00 AM - 8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
Ballroom Foyer
8:00 AM - 8:45 AM Monetary Policy and the Outlook
Ellington Ballroom
Dennis Lockhart, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Moderator: Lynn Reaser, CBE, Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University
8:45 AM - 9:40 AM Measuring the Gig Economy
Ellington Ballroom
Guy Berger, Chief Economist, LinkedIn
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, President, American Action Forum
Susan Lund, Director of Research, McKinsey Global Institute
Moderator: Erica Groshen, Commissioner, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
9:40 AM - 9:50 AM NABE Outlook
Ellington Ballroom
Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, NABE 2015-16 Vice President; Executive Director, Group of Thirty
9:50 AM - 10:15 AM Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer
Hosted by Greenwood Gearhart, Inc., in celebration of Mary Ann Greenwood's induction as a NABE Fellow
10:15 AM - 11:15 AM Concurrent Sessions II
A. Institutional Investing Amid Global Complexity
Ellington Ballroom A-C
Andrew W. Jung, Senior Vice President and Co-Director of Research, Montag & Caldwell
Michael W. Masters, Founder and Managing Member, Masters Capital
Moderator: Barry Bannister, Managing Director, Stifel
B. Low Energy Prices: Impact on Economic Growth
Ellington Ballroom D
Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist, IHS Markit
Mine Yücel, CBE, Senior VP and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; NABE Vice President-Elect
Moderator: Emily Sanchez, Director, Surveys and Statistics, American Chemistry Council
C. US Small Businesses: Avenues and Roadblocks to Reaching Global Consumers
Ellington Ballroom E-F
James Hoadley, Associate Director, Georgia Institute of Technology's Center for International Business Education and Research
Ken Nesbitt, International Accounts and Small Business Development, UPS
Susan Kintanar, Regional Director, Eastern Region, Export Import Bank of the U.S.
Moderator: Dan Bean, Financial Analyst, FDIC
11:20 AM - 12:20 PM Concurrent Sessions III
A. Is the Consensus for Free Trade Breaking Down?
Ellington Ballroom A-C
Gary Hufbauer, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Eric Reinhardt, Winship Distinguished Research Professor of Political Science, Emory University
Moderator: Ed Kean, Senior Economic Policy Analyst, Observatory Group
B. Demographics and Developments in Global Real Estate
Ellington Ballroom D
Richard Koss, Director of the Global Housing Watch Initiative and Visiting Scholar, International Monetary Fund
Jessica Lautz, Manager of Member & Consumer Survey Research, National Association of Realtors
Moderator: Selma Hepp, Vice President and Chief Economist, Pacific Union
C. Creative Destruction and the Outlook for Manufacturing and Labor Productivity
Ellington Ballroom E-F
J.P. Soltesz, Market Strategy Leader, General Electric
Cliff Waldman, Director of Economic Studies, Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation (MAPI) Foundation
Moderator: David Teolis, Senior Manager - Economic & Industry Forecasting - International, General Motors Company
12:20 PM - 1:40 PM CEO Luncheon
Mercer Ballroom
Richard J. Dugas, Jr., Chairman and CEO, PulteGroup, Inc.
Moderator: Michael McKee, Economics Editor, Bloomberg Television
1:45 PM - 2:25 PM A View from the CDC
Ellington Ballroom
Tom Frieden, Director, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Moderator: Kathleen Stephansen, CBE, Boston Consulting Group
2:25 PM - 2:50 PM Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer
2:50 PM - 3:30 PM CEO Address
Ellington Ballroom
Tom Fanning, Chairman, CEO, and President, Southern Company
Moderator: Dennis Lockhart, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
3:30 PM - 4:20 PM Global Outlook
Ellington Ballroom
Gregory Daco, Head of US Macroeconomics, Oxford Economics
Sara Johnson, CBE, Senior Research Director, Global Economics, IHS Markit Economics
Moderator/Speaker: David Altig, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
4:20 PM - 5:10 PM Strategies for Thriving in a Low Inflation World
Ellington Ballroom
Thomas Holzheu, Chief Economist, Americas, Swiss Re
Sree Ramaswamy, Senior Fellow, McKinsey Global Institute
Moderator: Kevin Kliesen, CBE, Business Economist and Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
5:10 PM - 5:30 PM NABE Business Meeting
Ellington Ballroom
6:00 PM - 7:30 PM Offsite Reception
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
1000 Peachtree Street NE
Atlanta, GA
Attendees will walk to the FRB of Atlanta.
7:45 PM - 9:00 PM Small Group Dinners
Area Restaurants - pre-registration required. Meet your group at the conclusion
of the reception at the FRB of Atlanta no later than 7:30 PM.
Tuesday, September 13
7:30 AM - 8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
Ballroom Foyer
8:00 AM - 8:45 AM At the Crossroads of Data Science and Economics
Ellington Ballroom
Susan Athey, The Economics of Technology Professor, Stanford Graduate School of Business
Moderator: Peter Evans, Vice President, Center for Global Enterprise
8:45 AM - 9:15 AM Impact of Immigration: Disruptive or Helpful?
Ellington Ballroom
Pia Orrenius, Vice President and Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Moderator: Jim Diffley, CBE, Senior Director, IHS Markit
9:15 AM - 9:40 AM NABE Presidential Address
Ellington Ballroom
Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, CBE, 2015-16 NABE President; Director of Research – Global Asset Allocation, Fidelity Investments
Moderator: Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, NABE 2015-16 Vice President; Executive Director, Group of Thirty
9:40 AM - 10:30 AM Economic Impact of Social Networks and Consumer Search
Ellington Ballroom
Michael Bailey, Economic Research Manager, Facebook
Steve Tadelis, Vice President, Economics, Amazon.com
Moderator: Nela Richardson, Chief Economist, Redfin
10:30 AM - 11:00 AM Networking Break
Ballroom Foyer
11:00 AM - 12:00 PM Concurrent Sessions IV
A. China Sectoral Outlook
Ellington Ballroom A-C
Laura Kodres, Assistant Director and Division Chief for the Asian Division, Institute for Capacity Development, International Monetary Fund
Joseph McKenna, Business Economist, Eaton Corporation
Moderator: Michael Drury, CBE, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments, LLC
B. Pacific Alliance or Populism: Which Way Latin America?
Ellington Ballroom D
Felipe Hernandez, Latin American Economist, Bloomberg Intelligence
Stephen J. Kay, Americas Center Director, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Moderator: Eugenio Aleman, Senior Economist, Wells Fargo Securities
C. Presentation of Edmund A. Mennis Contributed Papers
Ellington Ballroom E-F
The Evolving Contours of Productivity Performance and Automation Investment in U.S. Manufacturing
Cliff Waldman, Director of Economic Studies, Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation (MAPI) Foundation
Is Predicting Recessions Enough?
Azhar Iqbal, Director and Econometrician, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
John Silvia, CBE, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
A New Framework to Estimate the Near-Term Path of the Fed Funds Rate
Sam Bullard, CBE, Senior Economist and Managing Director, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Azhar Iqbal, Director and Econometrician, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
John Silvia, CBE, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Moderator: Elinda Kiss, Clinical Associate Professor of Finance, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland
12:00 PM - 1:30 PM Luncheon: Phishing for Phools
Mercer Ballroom
Robert J. Shiller, Nobel Laureate; Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University
Moderator: Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, NABE 2015-16 Vice President; Executive Director, Group of Thirty
1:35 PM - 2:20 PM The Future of Big Data Research: Implications for Science and Public Policy
Ellington Ballroom D
Paul Glimcher, Director, Institute for the Interdisciplinary Study of Decision Making, New York University
Moderator: Maurine Haver, CBE, Founder and President, Haver Analytics
2:20 PM - 3:00 PM Nowcasting GDP Growth
Ellington Ballroom D
Patrick Higgins, Associate Policy Adviser and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Rob Martin, Director and Senior US Economist, Barclays Capital
Moderator: Dana Saporta, CBE, Director, US Scenario Design, Credit Suisse
3:00 PM Adjourn