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International Roundtable Events

 

Upcoming Events:

 

The Growing Crisis in the Eurozone
Wednesday, May 12
11:00 AM (EDT)

 

Speakers:        
Jay Bryson, Global Economist, Wells Fargo Securities, moderator
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company (former President of NABE)
Sophia Drossos, Co-Head, Global Foreign Exchange Strategy, Morgan Stanley

The crisis in the Eurozone appears to be worsening. An IMF led 110 billion euro bailout of Greece has failed to calm the markets.  Meanwhile government debts levels in other Eurozone countries, including Spain, Portugal and Ireland continue to negatively impact the Euro, which has fallen to a one year low against the dollar.  Join us for a discussion of the deepening crisis and its implications for markets, for European economies and global businesses.   

This teleconference is available for purchase as a podcast by NABE members. Later, it will be available for free download by NABE members.

 


Past Events

 

"Too Big to Bail"

Thursday, January 28

Speakers:
Constance Hunter, Chief Economist, Galtere Ltd., moderator
John Chambers, Standard & Poor's Slides
Scott MacDonald, Aladdin Capital Slides

 "The U.S. government, like the U.K. government, the Greeks and the Irish, is going to need to draw down fiscal stimulus, pare expenditures [make cuts], raise revenues [taxes] and probably take a look at [cuts] in their entitlement programs [Social Security, Medicare, Education, etc]"

This quote from John Chambers, Managing Director of Standard & Poor's, summarizes the focus of this IRT-sponsored teleconference. What happens if the US, the UK, and even Japan fail to raise revenues, cut expenditures, pay down debt, and turn their fiscal ships around? Certainly they are ”too big to bail" should they falter. Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at Galtere (currently writing a book of the same title “Too Big to Bail: What Happens When Entitlement Costs Become Too Much for Large Countries with Aging Populations”) moderates a panel featuring John Chambers of S&P and Scott MacDonald of Aladdin Capital on January 28th at 3:00pm EST.

Podcast Available

John Chambers is Managing Director of Sovereign Ratings at Standard and Poor’s. A long and distinguished career at Standard and Poors, John has been with the firm since 1993. He is widely published and quoted.  In 2005, he was named chairman of the group's sovereign rating committee. This committee, which consists of senior sovereign analysts, sets and changes ratings for the 110 central governments rated by Standard & Poor's as well as for a score of multilateral and sub regional development banks, and over two dozen national development banks, import-export banks, and other public policy financial institutions. Before joining Standard & Poor's, John worked for Banque Indosuez and  European American Bank. John is a chartered financial analyst. He has his masters of arts from Columbia University in English literature and his bachelor of arts from Grinnell College in English literature and philosophy.

Scott B. MacDonald is a Senior Managing Director of Credit and Economic Research at Aladdin Capital Holdings.  Prior to that, he worked on sovereign and emerging markets at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Credit Suisse, Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, and KWR International. He is widely published, with his last book being a co-authored work, “Separating Fools from Their Money: A History of American Financial Scandals.”  He is currently working on a new book, When Small Countries Crash, which is about the impact of both financial crashes and global finance on the fortunes of small countries, ranging from Scotland (1690s) and the United States (1792) to the present crises in Iceland, Latvia and Ireland.

Constance Hunter is presently the Chief Economist at Galtere Ltd. Prior to joining Galtere, Ms. Hunter was the Chief Investment Officer and Managing Member of Coronat Asset Management, a hedge fund that expressed macroeconomic views by taking equity positions that capitalized on those views. Prior to forming Coronat Capital Management, LP, Ms. Hunter was a founding partner of Quantrarian Capital Management, an Asia-focused hedge fund. Previously, she was employed at Salomon Smith Barney,  Firebird Capital Management as a portfolio manager. She began her career as an Economist at the Chase Manhattan Bank, NA.   Constance is presently working on a book titled “Too Big to Bail: what happens when entitlement costs become too much for large countries with aging populations”.   She has a master’s degree from Columbia University’s School of International Affairs in International Economics and a BA from NYU in Economics and Sociology. 

 

 

 

 

“Are Foreigners Losing Their Interest in U.S. Investments?”

Tuesday, July 7, 2009
2:00-3:00 PM Eastern

Moderator:

Jay Bryson, Global Economist, Wachovia Corporation

Speakers:

Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist and Executive Vice President, IHS Global Insight slides
Torsten Slok, Senior Economist and Director, Deutsche Bank Securities slides

Abstract: Despite extremely low yields, foreign investors flocked to the safety of U.S. Treasury securities last autumn. However, budget deficits as far as the eye can see are causing some investors to question whether the relatively low yields of U.S. Treasury securities adequately compensate them for the risk of potentially higher inflation. Will foreign investors eschew U.S. Treasuries and other fixed income investments? What are the implications for the external accounts of the United States and the value of the dollar?

Podcast available

 

 

Recovery of International Agricultural Trade after Bursting of the Agricultural Price Bubble

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Moderator:

Speakers:

Summary:  During 2007-08, agricultural commodity prices soared due to a various conventional and extraordinary factors.  This phenomenon affected all countries which either export or import agricultural products.  The global recession has substantially reduced agricultural trade flows.  With glimmers of an economic recovery in the United States, the world’s largest agricultural exporter, will prospects for global agricultural trade improve by 2010?

Stewart Ramsey

Stewart Ramsey is a Principal and Senior Economist in IHS Global Insight's Agriculture Service, where he is responsible for forecasting and analysis of North American agriculture. He has more than 20 years of extensive experience in the area of forecasting crop supply and demand conditions around the world. His work has included areas such as biofuel and its potential and impacts, trade policy, climate change, farmer behavior and adoption of technology, and measures of sustainability. He has a graduate degree in economics from the University of Delaware.

Ronald Trostle

Ronald Trostle serves as an agricultural economist with the Economic Research Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture.  His July 2008 analysis, Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/wrs0801/, highlighted the convergence of conventional and extraordinary factors leading to the 2007-2008 spike in food prices and its impact on world agricultural trade.  For his original and timely assessment of the effects of spiraling food commodity prices on international agricultural trade, Trostle earned the USDA Economist of the Year Award from the USDA Economists Group.  Mr. Trostle completed graduate work at Kansas State University, while managing a farm producing grain.

Podcast available

"The New Global Financial Architecture and the Supervision of Systemically Important Banks"

Thursday, March 26, 2009
10:00-10:45am (Eastern)

Panelists:

The April 2, G20 summit in London will drive the process of redesigning the global architecture of financial supervision and oversight of systemically important financial institutions.  The teleconference will review the challenges ahead and discuss the possible results of the G20 deliberations, European proposals for reform, and US steps toward domestic regulatory reform. 

Podcast available

Biographies:

Leszek Balcerowicz

Leszek Balcerowicz (born 1947); Professor of Economics at the Warsaw School of Economics (WSE), former Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, former President of the National Bank of Poland (NBP). He is the architect of Poland's economic reforms initiated in 1989; he has been at the center of Poland's economic and political life since the fall of communism in Poland in 1989. Author of more than 100 publications on economic issues in Poland and abroad. Recipient of numerous honours from universities and awards worldwide. Awarded with Poland's highest decoration - Order of the White Eagle - for his contribution to the system transformation (2005). Since 2006 Leszek Balcerowicz has belonged to the Distinguished Associates of the International Atlantic Economic Society (IAES), founded in 1973; the IAES serves as an educational and scientific forum for the global community of well-known economists from around the world. In 2006 Leszek Balcerowicz became a member of the Group of Trustees, Institute of International Finance as well. The Group is engaged in the introduction and development of good practices concerning capital flows and debt restructuring in emerging markets. Founder of the Civil Development Forum Foundation. In 2008 Leszek Balcerowicz has been appointed as the chairman of Bruegel, a European think tank.

In 1970 he graduated with distinction from Foreign Trade faculty in Central School of Planning and Statistics (CSPS) in Warsaw, now Warsaw School of Economics (WSE). In 1974 he gained an MBA at St. John's University in New York; in 1975 he received his Ph.D. in economics at the CSPS. Among his academic distinctions are visiting fellowships at the University of Sussex (1985), and Marburg University (1988). Since October 1992 Leszek Balcerowicz has been a Professor at the Warsaw School of Economics (WSE), and since 1993 he has been a director of Chair of International Comparative Studies at WSE. In 1992-2000 he was a chairman of Council of the Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE) based in Warsaw. Since 2006, he has been a Corresponding Member of the History and Philosophy Class of the Polish Academy of Arts and Sciences.

In September 1989 Leszek Balcerowicz became Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance in the first non-communist government in Poland after II World War. He was also President of the Economic Committee of the Council of Ministers. In this vital period in Poland's transition he designed and executed the radical stabilization and transformation of Polish economy. He retained his positions in the government until December 1991. From April 1995 to December 2000 he was the president of the Freedom Union, a free market - oriented party. From 1997 to June 2000 he was Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance and President of the Economic Committee of the Council of Ministers. In January 2001, he was appointed to the post of the President of the National Bank of Poland.

Leszek Balcerowicz has given many lectures and seminars world-wide. He received honorary doctorates from the following universities: the University of Aix-en-Provence, France, the University of Sussex, UK, De Paul University of Chicago, USA, the University of Szczecin, Poland, Staffordshire University, UK, Mikolaj Kopernik University of Torun, Poland, Dundee University in Scotland, the Economic University in Bratislava, Slovakia, Viadrina European University in Frankfurt (Oder), Germany, University of the Pacific in Lima, Peru, "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University in Iasi, Romania, the Gerhard Mercator University in Duisburg, Germany, the Karol Adamiecki University of Economics in Katowice, the Poznan University of Economics, the Wroclaw University of Economics, the University of Gdansk and his Alma Mater Warsaw School of Economics.

In 1992 he was awarded the Ludwig Erhard Prize from the Ludwig Erhard Foundation, Germany. In 1998 Mr. Balcerowicz received "Finance Minister of the Year" title from the British financial monthly "Euromoney". In 1999 European Institute of Washington granted him "Transatlantic Leadership Award" for the most outstanding European personality in 1998, and he received the Central European Award for the Finance Minister of the Year 1998 in Central and Eastern Europe. In 2001 he was awarded the Friedrich von Hayek Prize, Germany; in the same year he received the Carl Bertelsmann Prize for his achievements during the process of transformation of the Polish economy. In 2002 the Fasel Foundation honoured him with a prize for his merits for the social market economy. In January 2004 British monthly "The Banker" recognized Mr. Balcerowicz as central banker of the year for Europe. In October 2004 he was granted the annual "Emerging Markets Award" for the best president of a central bank in Central and Eastern Europe. In 2006 voted by FT.com readers one of five winners in the Pioneering Thought Leadership Project.

 

Richard Spillenkothen

Richard (Rich) Spillenkothen joined Deloitte & Touche LLP’s  Regulatory & Capital Markets Consulting Practice in Washington, DC, after a career of over 30 years at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Rich served as Director of the Federal Reserve Board’s Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation from 1991 to 2006.  In this capacity, Rich was the senior Federal Reserve Board staff official with responsibility for banking supervision and regulation policy and operations. He oversaw the Federal Reserve’s programs for supervising bank and financial holding companies, state member banks, and the U.S. activities of foreign banks.  He also coordinated financial institution supervisory policy with Reserve Bank officials, as well as with other federal, state and foreign banking supervisory authorities.  His regulatory responsibilities included overseeing the process for assessing the financial and management impact of major bank and holding company acquisitions and expansions.

As Division Director at the Board of Governors, Rich had management oversight responsibility for the development and implementation of policies relating to prudential supervision, capital adequacy, regulatory accounting and disclosure, risk management (compliance, credit, market/liquidity and operational risk), supervisory enforcement, and the use of information technology within the supervision function.  He also chaired the supervision function’s strategic plan steering committee, comprising the senior supervisory officials from the Board and the twelve Federal Reserve Banks.

Rich served on the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision from 1992 to 2006.  From 2003 to 2006 he was the chairman of the board of the Association of Supervisors of Banks of the Americas, the 34-country regional organization of banking supervisors in the Western Hemisphere.  He also represented the Federal Reserve on domestic interagency policy and coordination committees, including the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council’s Supervision Task Force.

Rich joined the staff of the Federal Reserve Board in 1976 in the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation and held various staff and management positions in the policy, planning and supervision operations areas prior to being appointed Director in 1991.

Rich holds an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago and an A.B. from Harvard University.

 


"Politics and Business in Russia After the Elections"
Thursday, April 24, 2008
9:00 AM-10:00 AM Eastern

Speaker: Stanislav Shekshnia, Affiliate Professor INSEAD, author, entrepreneur

(Dr. Shekshnia last spoke to NABE members at a teleconference sponsored by the International Roundtable on February 28, 2005.)

Podcast available

Biography

Stanislav Shekshnia brings a prospective of a business executive and academic. His specific areas of interest are leadership, entrepreneurship, leadership development and succession, emerging economies, cross-cultural management, organizational culture, and change management.

In 1991-2002 Stanislav Shekshnia held positions of CEO of Alfa-Telecom, President and CEO, Millicom International Cellular, Russia and CIS, Chief Operating Officer of VimpelCom, Director of Human Resources, Central and Eastern Europe of Otis Elevator. He served as Chairman of SUEK, Vimpelcom-R and a board member of a number of Russian and international companies. Currently Stanislav is a member of a Supervisory Board of DTEK, the largest Ukrainian energy company.

Dr. Shekshnia has over 15 years of graduate level teaching experience. He is an Affiliate Professor of Entrepreneurship at INSEAD; he has taught graduate and executive courses in entrepreneurship, leadership, international management and people management and lectured at ESCP-EAP, HEC, Northeastern University, California State University at Hayworth, Stockholm School of Economics, Moscow State University, International Management Institute in St. Petersburg.

In 2002 Stanislav Shekshnia co-founded Zest Leadership international consultancy. With Zest Leadership he concentrates on leadership, leadership development, organizational development and intercultural management. Dr. Shekshnia provides personal coaching to business owners and corporate executives. His clients have included BP, TNK-BP, Cisco, Enskilda Securities, Siegwerk, Ipsen, Meditel, United Technologies, Norilsk Nickel, EdP, Telefonica, KAMAZ, Megafone, IlimPulpEnterprise.

Dr. Shekshnia is the author, co-author, or editor of 5 books, including “The New Russian
Business Leaders” (2004 with M. Kets de Vries, K. Korotov, E. Florent-Treacy),  Corporate Governance in Russia (2004, edit. with S. Puffer and D. McCarthy), Russian management bestseller Managing People in Contemporary Organization (seven editions since 1995). His work appeared in such journals as The Academy of Management Executive, The European Management Journal, Harvard Business Review Russia, Harvard Business Review Germany, Journal of West-East Business, Case Research Journal, California Management Review, Compensation and Benefits Review, Journal of Management Inquiry, The International Executive, L’Expansion Management Review, Russian business daily Vedomosty, Expert, Management, Personnel Management, Personnel Mix, Kariera and Kompania magazines.

Stanislav Shekshnia lives in Paris, but frequently travels to his mother land for business and
hunting expeditions.

###


 

Asian Outlook and Prospects for Industries" Teleconference
Monday, April 7, 2008
2:00-3:00 PM Eastern

“The ADB’s 2008 Asian Development Outlook”
Ifzal Ali, Chief Economist, Asian Development Bank Slideshow

“Which Industries Gain and Which Lose in a Slowing Asian Economy?”
Mark Killion, CFA, Managing Director, World Industry Services, Global Insight Slideshow

Podcast available

Moderator:
Stuart Mackintosh, International Roundtable Chair/Executive Director, The Group of Thirty

Ifzal Ali will discuss Asian economic development and the impact of global financial markets, the effects of U.S. credit crunch, whether rising food and energy prices will fan inflationary flames across the region, and how policymakers should deal with rising inflation and a slowdown in global growth.  Mark Killion will follow with a discussion of the changing prospects for industry activity, spending and profits, and more.  He will show which sectors are the likely winners and losers in Asia and will compare those to the rest of the world.  Please join us for this timely teleconference.


“Asian Capital Markets”
Thursday, May 17, 2007
11 AM to 12 Noon EDT

David Hale, Hale Advisors, LLC

David has recently met with officials and business leaders in Korea, Japan and China.  This teleconference will draw from those meetings.

This teleconference has been turned into a NABE Premium Podcast. It can be purchased for $10 on the NABE secure server.


“Emerging Markets and Volatility”

Tuesday, March 27, 2007
11:00 AM EDT

Since the stock market downturn in the China on Feb. 27, markets in Asia and the rest of the world have tumbled.  Join us at this teleconference sponsored by the International Roundtable to understand about volatility in emerging markets and whether there is a bumpy road ahead.

Speaker:Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist, Global Insight
Stuart Mackintosh, IRT Officer and Executive Director, The Group of Thirty, will moderate.

This is a free NABE podcast, and can be downloaded from the NABE Podcasts page or via an iTunes subscription.

Download slide show (PDF, 280 K) NABE members only.


Thursday, May 4, 2006

Replay of "Financial Market Reform in China"

Sponsored by the International Roundtable

Speakers:
James Dorn, Vice President for Academic Affairs, Cato Institute and
John Thompson, Financial Economist, former Financial Advisor, OECD Financial Affairs and Enterprise Directorate
Moderator: Patrick Casey, AVP Forecasting & Planning, TTX Company

While China's currency policy continues to make headlines, that policy is but one aspect of evolving Chinese financial markets. The broader financial context, including issues such as capital controls, interest rate policy, price stability, privatization, savings rates, domestic equity ownership and foreign investment all will affect the health of China's economy and the direction of its vital trade relationship with the U.S. Both speakers bring their in-depth understanding of China to this discussion of the challenges of and prospects for Chinese financial reform.

AgPaper (PDF)
China Capital Markets (PDF)
Financial Regulation in China (PDF)
Governance in Banks of China (PDF)
Economic Development Bulletin (PDF)

Podcast

This teleconference is available as a free podcast. See the NABE Podcasting page for details.


Thursday, Feb 9, 2006

Replay of “Currency Outlook 2006: Currencies in the Europe and Asia”

Podcast replay of this Teleconference sponsored by the NABE International Roundtable

Originally held Thursday, February 9, 2006, 12 Noon EST

Speakers:
Europe--Paul Donovan, Deputy Head, Global Economics, UBS Investment Bank
Asia--Todd Lee, Managing Director, Greater China, Global Insight
Sara Johnson, IRT Director and Managing Director, Global Macroeconomics, Global Insight, will moderate

Todd Lee's slide show (PDF, 140 K)

This is a free NABE podcast.


Wednesday, Feb 1, 2006

Teleconference: “Currency Outlook 2006:Currencies in the Americas”

Speakers:
Canada--Tim O’Neill, O’Neill Strategic Economics, Ontario, Canada
Latin America--Michael Warren, National Manager, Toyota Motor North America

This is a free NABE podcast.


Thursday, June 9, 2005

“Brazil's Competitive Advantages”

Speaker:
Affonso Pastore, LatinSource’s economist in Brazil, President and Founder of A.C. Pastore & Associados, an economic consulting firm based in Sao Paulo.

Moderator:
Catherine Mann, International Roundtable Chair

Teleconference slide show

Affonso Celso Pastore serves as LatinSource’s economist in Brazil and is President and Founder of A.C. Pastore & Associados, an economic consulting firm based in Sao Paulo.

Dr. Pastore was President of the Central Bank of Brazil from 1983-1985. He previously served as Secretary of Finance for the State of Sao Paulo, and prior to that as Director of Research for the Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas, a foundation associated with the Department of Economics at the University of São Paulo. He also served as Director of Research at the “Fundação Centro de Estudos do Comércio Exterior” (FUNCEX).

Dr. Pastore received both his Bachelor and his Doctorate degrees in Economics from the Universidade de Sao Paulo, where he held the positions of Professor and Dean of the Department of Economics from 1978 to 1999. He continues teaching graduate courses at the Fundação Getulio Vargas/RJ on “Open Economy Macroeconomics”, “Money and Banking” and “Econometrics”.

Dr. Pastore has written numerous articles published in major journals that focus on monetary and stabilization policies, and on international monetary issues. He has also devoted his studies to the problems of agriculture within the Brazilian economy.


Tuesday, May 3, 2005

Recent Developments in International Corporate Governance, with a Focus on Trans-Atlantic Issues

Speakers are

Holly Gregory, Partner, Weil, Gotshal & Manges and
Grant Kirkpatrick, Senior Economist, OECD.

William Witherwell, OECD,moderater


February 28, 2005

Russia and Its Economic and Business Environment

Overview/Economic Outlook:

Russian Business:

Rudiger Ahrend is Economist for the NIS and South-eastern Europe in the Non-member Economies Division of the OECD Economics  Department, and is the co-author of the OECD Economic Surveys of Romania (2002)  and Russia (2004). He specialises in macro-economics and the political economy  of emerging markets, and has published numerous journal and newspaper articles  in the field. He has previously worked as a researcher, independent consultant,  as well as an advisor to governments in various transition  countries.

OECD Slide Show

William  Tompson is Senior Economist for the NIS and South-eastern Europe in the  Economics Department of the OECD. He is on leave from the University of London,  where he is Reader in Politics, and he is also an associate fellow of the Royal  Institute of International Affairs. Dr Tompson is the author of Khrushchev: A  Political Life (Macmillan/St Martin's, 1997) and The Soviet Union under Brezhnev  (Longman, 2003), as well as numerous articles and book chapters on Soviet and  Russian politics and economic policy. Together with Rudiger Ahrend, he prepared  the fifth OECD Economic Survey of the Russian Federation, which appeared in July  2004.

Stanislav Shekshnia is an Adjunct Professor of Entrepreneurship at INSEAD. Dr. Shekshnia spent 10 years as a business executive and entrepreneur in France, USA, Russia and Central Europe. He has master's degree in Economics and Ph.D. from Moscow State University and MBA from Northeastern University in Boston. In 1991-2002 Stanislav Shekshnia held positions of Director of Human Resources, Central and Eastern Europe for Otis Elevator, President and CEO, Millicom International Cellular, Russia and CIS, Chief Operating Officer of VimpelCom, CEO of Alfa-Telecom. He served as Chairman of Vimpelcom-R and board member of a number of Russian companies.

In 2002 Stanislav Shekshnia co-founded Zest Leadership international consultancy. With Zest Leadership he concentrates on leadership, leadership development, organizational development and intercultural management. Dr. Shekshnia provides personal coaching to business owners and corporate executives. His clients have included BP, TNK-BP, KAMAZ, Telecominvest, and United Technologies.

Dr. Shekshnia has over 15 years of graduate level teaching experience in Russia, France and United States. He is the author, co-author, or editor of 5 books, including Russian management bestseller Managing People in Contemporary Organization (seven editions since 1995), Group Focus (2003, with M.Rousseau-Ovchinnikov) , Kak Eto Skazat Po-Russki: Western Management Methods in Russia (2003), Corporate Governance in Russia (edit. with S. Puffer and D. McCarthy upcoming) , New Russian Business Leaders (with M. Kets de Vries and associates, upcoming). He has published book chapters, articles, executive commentaries, interviews and case studies on entrepreneurship, leadership, people management, intercultural management and business and management in Russia.

Shekshnia slide show


Dec 17, 2004

"Breaking Up is Hard to Do: Prospects for the Dollar"

Catherine Mann, Institute for International Economics

Slideshow (PDF, 282 K)


April 16, 2004

Joint Teleconference with Technology Roundtable
Catherine Mann, Senior Fellow, Institute for International Economics
Off-shore Outsourcing


Feb 4,2004

"Trade Security and Trade Facilitation: Must They Conflict?"

Our speakers will be:

K. Jack Riley, Director, RAND Public Safety and Justice, RAND Corporation. (Dr. Riley also directs the Homeland Security Center in RAND's National Security Research Center.)
Greg Moxness, Director, Office of Regulatory and Economic Analysis in the Office of Transportation Security Policy, Department of Homeland Security
Brian Rankin Staples, Principal, Trade Facilitation Services (Ottawa)

Catherine Mann, Institute for International Economics, will moderate.

K. Jack Riley was appointed Director of RAND Public Safety and Justice in September 1999 and the Director of the National Security Research Division's Homeland Security Center in September 2003. He is also co-director of RAND's Center for Terrorism Risk Management policy. In these capacities, he manages RAND's relationship with the Department of Homeland Security and coordinates much of RAND's homeland security work on issues such as deterrence, prevention and preemption; domestic preparedness; and consequence mitigation. He leads a variety of research efforts on counterterrorism, homeland security, and terrorism risk management with public and private sector clients, including a current project that updates the first empirical analyses of preparedness for domestic terrorism (Domestic Terrorism: A National Assessment of State and Local Preparedness, RAND, 1995). The revised version of the national survey will be released early in 2004. His recent homeland security publications include: California's Vulnerability to Terrorism (RAND, 2002) and The Implications of the September 11th Terrorism Attacks for California (RAND, 2002).

Jack is active in research areas beyond homeland security, including gun violence and drug policy. He currently serves as co-PI on a project funded by the Department of Justice to analyze gun trace data and to assist law enforcement with designing effective illegal gun market disruption strategies. His recent publications include: Reducing Gun Violence: Results from an Intervention in East Los Angeles (RAND, 2003) and From Boston to Boyle Heights: The Process and Prospects of a "Pulling Levers" Strategy in a Los Angeles Barrio (Wadsworth, 2002). Currently, he is funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation to analyze prosecution and sentencing of drug offenders in California. His recent publications include: "UNCOPE: A Brief Substance Dependence Screen for Use with Arrestees," (Journal of Drug Issues, 2003); "Monitoring the Crack Epidemic through Urine Testing: Establishment of Routine Detection Methods," (Addiction Biology, 2001); and "The Validity of Adult Arrestee Self-Reports of Crack Cocaine Use, (Journal of Drug and Alcohol Abuse, 2001)."

Since 2000, Jack has served on the admissions committee of the RAND Graduate School. He also serves on the advisory board of the Forensic Science Institute at CSU-LA and on the Homeland Security Advisory Council for metropolitan Los Angeles.

From 1995 to 1999, Jack was with the US Department of Justice, National Institute of Justice. Jack received his BA (economics and Russian) from the University of Michigan in 1986; his MS (foreign service) from Georgetown in 1988; and his PhD (public policy analysis) from the RAND Graduate School in 1993.


Greg Moxness graduated from Coe College, 1977, with a major in economics. He spent ten years as an Air Force pilot and plans officer. He left Air Force for graduate school in Public Administration. He came to Washington, DC, as part of the Postal Services revival of the management intern program. After the internship, he spent 13 years as an economist and marketing specialist. He has had responsibilities for salary and benefit modeling, budget systems, national sales accountability, and forecasting.

He joined Transportation Security Administration in February of 2003 as an economist in Regulatory and Economic Analysis of the Office of Transportation Security Policy. In October, he was named Director, Office of Regulatory and Economic Analysis. Greg is responsible for the cost-benefit analysis of proposed regulations as well as other economic analysis for TSA. His primary interest is fostering improved public decision making with solid analytical analysis and procedures and advocating public service.


Brian R. Staples is a Senior International Trade Expert with 20 years progressive experience covering a broad knowledge of technical trade fundamentals such as valuation, duty and tax deferral programs, rules of origin and the Harmonized System of Classification, combined with an interest in trade policy.

He is a Principal (1998 - Present) with Trade Facilitation Services, Ottawa, Ontario; and a Senior Fellow (1999 - Present), Technical Trade and Customs Reform Advisor to the Centre forTrade Policy and Law, Ottawa, Ontario. He is a Member of the Trade Policy Committee, Canadian Council for International Business (Canadian Secretariat of the International Chamber of Commerce and the Business and Industry Advisory Committee to the O.E.C.D.) and member of the International Affairs Committee, Canadian Chamber of Commerce.

He has a Bachelor of Arts in Law and Philosophy, Carleton University (1989), and a Diploma from the International Freight Forwarders Association (1993).