Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Environment

Thinking About Unconventional Monetary Tools

By Stephen G. Cecchetti

Stephen G. Cecchetti is a professor of international economics and finance at the International Business School, Brandeis University, a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a consultant to the European Central Bank’s Inflation Persistence Project. Previously, he was a professor of economics at Ohio State University and the director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He has also served as a visiting professor at several institutions and has served on several editorial boards of scholarly publications. He has published over fifty articles in academic and policy journals and is a regular contributor to the Financial Times. He received a S.B. in Economics from M.I.T. and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.

The constraint of a zero nominal interest rate requires rethinking how to use monetary policy to stimulate the economy in low-inflation conditions. Central banks are not only the economy’s stabilizers, they are also its risk managers. How do they perform both functions? One issue is how to define an inflation target. Another is how to protect the economy from a deflationary shock. As a risk manager, the Fed has thought through its options and has a number of tools at its disposal. Clearer and timelier communication of objectives and actions would also help to make monetary policy more effective.

Comments prepared for the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, September 15, 2003.

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