A Perspective on Inflation Targeting

Why It Seems To Work

By Ben S. Bernanke

Ben S. Bernanke is a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He received a BA in economics from Harvard University and a Ph.D. in economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Before becoming a member of the Board, he was on the faculty at Princeton and Stanford Universities. He has also taught at New York University and at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has been a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia, Boston, and New York, where he also served on the Academic Advisory Panel. Dr. Bernanke has published many articles on a wide variety of economic issues, including monetary policy and macroeconomics, and he is the author of several scholarly books and two textbooks. He served as the Director of the Monetary Economics Program of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and as a member of the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee.

Inflation targeting—whose major feature is announcement of a quantitative goal for inflation—is becoming more widely used as a principal policy instrument of central banks. Moreover, none of the dozens of banks that have adopted it have abandoned it. The policy framework of inflation targeting may be characterized as “constrained discretion,” albeit with inflation as the primary focus. Maintaining this focus, as well as effectively communicating it, is essential in containing inflationary expectations on the part of the private sector. Although this reduces flexibility of monetary policy, less flexibility has some advantages of its own. The paper addresses misconceptions about inflation targeting and notes that while the Federal Reserve Board has not explicitly accepted inflation targeting, its recent actions have been consistent with an inflation-targeting approach. It also notes the further steps that would be necessary for the Fed to move further toward inflation targeting.

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