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In Memoriam
From the Editor
R. Glenn Hubbard: Economic Outlook and Economic Policy in the United States
Alice M. Rivlin:
Thoughts on the Economic Future
Richard Curtin: What Recession? What Recovery? The Arrival
of the 21st Century Consumer
Spencer F. England: The Federal Reserve Board and the Stock
Market Bubble
Hossein Askari: Caspian Oil Development: The Sooner the
Better
Ilhan K. Geckil: Competitive Responses to Corporate Average
Fuel Economy Standards
Robert P. Parker: More US Economic Data Series Incorporate
the North American Industry Classification System
Andrew C. Gross and Michael B. Richardson: Water
Treatment Chemicals
James L. Bicksler: What
We Know and What We Don't Know About Corporate Governance
Tim O'Neill: Economics at Work
Book Reviews
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Walter E. Hoadley
1916-2003
Business economics lost an outstanding
professional economist,
and NABE lost a good
friend and role model with the death
of Walter Hoadley on February 19,
2003.
Born in San Francisco on August
16, 1916, Walter received his AB in 1938, his MA in 1940 and his Ph.D. in 1946
from the
University of California at Berkeley. He was a senior
economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago from
1942 to 1949. In 1949, he joined Armstrong World
Industries, Lancaster, PA, as an economist. In 1954, he
became treasurer until 1960, vice president and treasurer
until 1966, and director 1962-87. In 1966, he joined
Bank of America NT&SA in San Francisco as senior vice
president, chief economist, and member of the managing
committee and became executive vice president and chief
economist from 1968 until his retirement in 1981. Then,
he joined the Hoover Institution, Stanford University as
senior research fellow and remained there until his death.
His professional and civic activities were too numerous
to list, but a few are especially noteworthy. He was
deputy chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of
Philadelphia, 1960-61 and chairman 1962-66. He was a
fellow of the American Statistical Association and served
as vice president on the board of directors 1952-54 and as
president in 1958. He served on the board of the
American Finance Association 1955-56 and as president
in 1969. He also was a member of the Conference of
Business Economists and chairman in 1962.
An early member of NABE, Walter was elected a fellow
and was active in the San Francisco chapter, where he
served on the executive committee. He made a major contribution
to NABE through two conferences he organized
and chaired in 1986 and 1988, while he was at the Hoover
Institution. The Hoover Institution sponsored the conferences
and distributed the proceedings, which were published,
together with succinct summaries written by
Walter, as special editions of Business Economics in
February 1987 and February 1989.
For the 1986 conference, Walter gathered fifty business
economists, academics, government officials and
businessmen to consider “The United States in
Tomorrow’s World Economy.” The participants and speakers
were from the United States, Europe, and the Far East.
Their papers were distributed prior to the meeting to those
attending, and the ensuing discussions were lively and
informative. The 1989 conference was similarly organized,
with an international group of speakers. The topic
was “Economic Challenges Facing the Next
Administration,” particularly timely at the beginning of
the first Bush Administration.
However, the listing of his achievements in no way
does justice to the skills, knowledge and warm personality
of this extraordinary man. He was an accomplished
speaker, talking without notes, and with a brevity and
logic that made his presentations popular with professional
and nonprofessional audiences alike. He always
stressed the importance of international developments,
drawing on his experiences through extensive travel
abroad and his friendships with economists worldwide.
His favorite admonition was that forecasts should be “economically
sound, politically possible and psychologically
likely,” that is, after preparing an economic forecast, a
business economist should review the political consequences
and the pubic reaction to the developments forecast
to see whether the forecast might be undone by noneconomic
events.
Walter’s 1988 book, Looking Behind the Crystal Ball,
was a major contribution to business economics. In it,
Walter described the evolution of the profession after
World War II, the profile of a successful business economist,
the tools used, the use of personal contacts, the
place of professional organizations, and the critical importance
of contributing to the corporate team. He also made
an impassioned plea for higher standards for using the
title “business economist,” predicting its eventual demise
if tangible, useful contributions were not made to corporate
success and public welfare. If anything, his comments
are more pertinent today than they were fifteen
years ago.
He also gave freely of his time and knowledge to
younger members of the profession. On a personal note, I
first met Walter when, as a young security analyst for the
Wellington Fund in the 1950s, I visited the headquarters
of Armstrong in Lancaster, PA several times a year to
interview Walter and other senior executives of the company.
Not only was Walter always cordial and helpful, but
he also urged me to pursue my doctoral studies at New
York University, commuting weekly to New York from
Philadelphia. He also discussed my dissertation topic
with me, urging that I write on something relevant to my daily work.
He read a draft of the dissertation, which considered the ways of measuring
and evaluating corporate
profits, and made many useful comments. Such kindness
was typical of Walter; I was not the only beneficiary of
such help and thoughtfulness. He was truly an outstanding
example of a business economist but also of a warm
and generous human being.
Edmund A. Mennis
Editor Emeritus
Business Economics |
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