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NABE Podcasts

These are the available NABE Podcasts. Teleconferences more than two months old are free; teleconferences on NABE surveys are free for NABE members only. Future teleconferences will be also be recorded and listed here. Need to find out more about podcasting? Read about it in Windows on the Web.
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Free Podcasts

Teleconferences are free to download. Teleconferences of NABE Survey results are free to NABE members only.

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2008 Podcasts

Credit Shocks and Economic Aftershocks

Date: May 6, 2008
Speakers:
Richard Brown, FDIC
Stuart Hoffman, PNC Financial Services
John Silvia, Wachovia Bank
Moderator:
Nayantara Hensel, U.S. Naval Postgraduate School

The panel look at the current turmoil in financial markets, and at some of the proposed cures.
Time: 57:15; 19.6 MB. Download no

Politics and Business in Russia After the Elections

Date: April 24, 2008
Speaker: Stanislav Shekshnia, Affiliate Professor INSEAD, author, entrepreneur
Moderator: Andrea Keenan, AM Best
Stanislav Shekshnia discusses the Russian political environment and the transition as Vladimir Putin steps down as Russian president. Recorded 4/24/2008.
Time: 46:56, File Size 10.7 MB Download now

Asian Outlook and Prospects for Industries

Date: April 7, 2008
Speakers: Ifzal Ali, Chief Economist, Asian Development Bank; Mark Killion, CFA, Managing Director, World Industry Services, Global Insight;
Moderator: Stuart Mackintosh, International Roundtable Chair/Executive Director, The Group of Thirty
Ifzal Ali discusses Asian economic development and the impact of global financial markets, the effects of U.S. credit crunch, whether rising food and energy prices will fan inflationary flames across the region, and how policymakers should deal with rising inflation and a slowdown in global growth.  Mark Killion follows with a discussion of the changing prospects for industry activity, spending and profits, and more.  He shows which sectors are the likely winners and losers in Asia and compares those to the rest of the world. 
Time: 59:03, File Size 13.6 MB Download now

"The CPI: Proposed Initiatives to Improve the Measurement of Headline Inflation"

Date: April 2, 2008
Speakers: Michael W. Horrigan, Bureau of Labor Statistics; W. John Layng, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Moderator: Maurine Haver, Haver Analytics
BLS Associate Commissioner Mike Horrigan and BLS Assistant Commissioner for CPI John Layng discuss plans to significantly improve the shelter component of the CPI and to update the geographic samples in which prices for CPI are collected. 
Time: 1:01:17, File Size 14.3 MB Download now

"Health Care Information Technology and Financing’s Next Frontier: The Potential of Medical Banking"

Date: February 26, 2008
Speaker: Stephen Parente, Associate Professor, Department of Finance, and Director, Medical Industry Leadership Institute, University of Minnesota.
Moderator: Devon Herrick, Senior Fellow, National Center for Policy Analysis and Health Economics Roundtable Chair.
This session explores the potential for more extensive use of information technology, including:  Can medical banking card technologies be a viable personal health records platform?  In addition, the teleconference discusses the hurdles—financial, technical, and institutional—that need to be surmounted to achieve these objectives. 
Time: 1:02:39, File Size 14.4 MB Download now

Whither Goes Housing

Date: February 22, 2008
Speakers:
David Berson, Senior Vice President, Chief Economist and Strategist, The PMI Group, Inc.
Dowell Myers, Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
Moderator: Kathryn Kobe, Director, Price Wage & Productivity Analysis, Economic Consulting Services LLC
The housing sector is an important end-use market for manufacturing and the decline of housing activity has directly affected a number of industries, especially those involved in supplying construction materials but also those supplying consumer products (appliances, furniture, carpeting, etc.) typically associated with a home purchase. Falling home prices characterize this business cycle and are now affecting manufacturing industries indirectly as consumers retrench, moderating the demand for durable and non-durable goods and then feeding back to orders and production.
Time: 59:20, File Size 16.9 MB Download now

Planning Emerging Transportation Technologies

Date: February 12, 2008
Speakers:
Mark A. Alexander, Vehicle Systems Analysis, Electric Power Research Institute
Austan S. Librach, Director, Emerging Transportation Technologies, Austin Energy (Slides)
Daniel Bean, Financial Analyst, FDIC, moderator
The economic benefit of cleaner operating vehicles could prove to be enormous. The United States could maintain a strong economy plus boost American jobs and competitiveness by increasing the nation’s energy supply from all sources – oil, gas, coal, nuclear, and alternative fuels and technologies. Specifically, the nation’s power delivery systems could be expanded to accommodate electric vehicles. A benefit from this might be the improvement in the environment through greater efficiency, technology-based solutions to address greenhouse gas emissions and a reduction in air pollution.
Time: 49:45; File Size 17.0 MB Download now

The Benefits of Neuroeconomics

Date: February 6, 2008
Speakers:
Kevin McCabe, The George Mason University
Jason Zweig, senior writer, Money Magazine
Brooks Robinson, Technology Roundtable Chair, moderator
Neuroeconomics is the experimental study of how emergent mental computations in the brain interact with the emergent computations of institutions to produce legal, political, and economic order.  For the NABE membership, the important consideration is “Can knowledge about, and the use of, neuroeconomics enhance the bottom lines of commercial enterprises?”
Time: 59:02; File Size: 20.3 MB Download now.

The Fiscal Stimulus

Date: January 30, 2008
Speakers:
Douglas Elmendorf, The Brookings Institution
Rudolph Penner, The Urban Institute
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Ford Motor Company, and
Chris Varvares, Macroeconomic Advisers, moderators
What will be the effects of the proposed fiscal stimulus legislation?
Time: 58:50; File size 23.6 MB. Download now

Recent Fed Actions

Date: January 23, 2008
Speakers:
Michael Moran, Daiwa Securities America
David Resler, Nomura Securities International
Chris Varvares, Macroeconomic Advisers, moderator
This teleconference looks at the surprise Fed rate cut of January 22, and possible moves going forward.
Time: 46:57
File Size: 13.4 MB. Download now

2007 Podcasts

"Dollar Weakness, the Impossible Trinity, and Sovereign Wealth Funds”

Date: December 11, 2007
Sponsor: International Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Richard Berner, Morgan Stanley
Anthony Santomero, McKinsey & Co
The teleconference will cover the implications of the fall in the U.S. dollar for Middle East and Asian currencies and what this means for the burgeoning SWFs and their investment strategies
Time: 40:17
File Size: 16 MB
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"US Manufacturing Outlook 2008"

Date: November 30, 2007
Sponsor: Manufacturing Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Daniel Meckstroth, Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI
Thomas Runewicz, Global Insight
These two experts look at the current situation in manufacturing and the outlook over the next year. Topics addressed include: Will a lower dollar and sustained growth overseas sustain the growth in manufacturing exports? Will it continue to be the main driver? Now that the inventory correction is over, will capital investment improve and aid manufacturing? What about motor vehicles? Is the credit crunch spilling over into manufacturing? And the $64,000 question: Who are the winners and losers? Time: 49:19
File Size: 17 MB
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"Viewpoints on the R&E Tax Credit: What's Needed Now and Outlook"

Date: November 13, 2007
Sponsor: Technology Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Robert Atkinson, Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (Paper)
Philip Beram, Chief Tax Counsel and Executive Director of Tax Policy, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Brooks Robinson, Triple Helix Institute, University of Hawaii, introductions
Eric Graber, University of Maryland, University College, moderator
Discussion will include: Origin and workings of the R&E Tax Credit; The case for preserving and expanding the R&E Tax Credit; International comparisons; Improving implementation of the Alternative Simplified Credit and flat credit for collaborative R&D; Business profitability issues (industries most affected, high tech. versus low tech. businesses, and small versus large business needs, short-term versus long-term); Recommendations, legislative history, Congressional activity, and outlook for extending\modifying the R&E Tax Credit.
Time: 59:13
File Size: 20.4 MB
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Election 2008 Debate

Date: November 9, 2007
Speaker(s):
The economic advisors to the top presidential candidates debate on November 9, 2007. Participating were: Gene Sperling, Economic Adviser to Hillary Clinton; Michael Boskin, Economic Adviser to Rudolph Giuliani; Leo Hindery, Economic Adviser to John Edwards;
Doug Holtz-Eakin, Economic Adviser to John McCain; Austan Goolsbee, Economic Adviser to Barack Obamain. The debate partners were the National Economists Club, Altarum, Macroeconomic Advisers, and the Tax Foundation.
Time: 1:44:15
File Size: 35.8 MB
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“Commodity Outlook”

Date: November 8, 2007
Sponsor: Manufacturing Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Pat Westhoff, Market/Policy Research Associate Professor , Food and Agriculture Policy Research Institute (FAPRI)
Dr. Heinz-Jürgen Büchner, Chief Economist, IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG
With Chinese and other Asian economies booming, the markets for the raw materials used in manufacturing have tightened up considerably. Oil, natural gas, steel, copper, corn and other commodity prices have soared since 2004, reaching new records for many. What’s in store for these commodity inputs? Will it make a difference to manufacturers and the broader economy?  Will it finally affect inflation? Will soaring oil and other energy prices derail the economy? Anyone concerned about energy, commodities, trade, inflation, forecasting, and economic policy should be interested in this session.
Time: 59:10
File Size: 20 MB
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"The Unfolding Credit Crisis”

Date: November 1, 2007
Sponsor: Financial Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Charles Peabody, Portales Partners
Robert T McGee, US Trust Co, moderator
Charles Peabody is an expert on credit market problems including those related to housing and mortgage markets.  He was one of the few observers to anticipate the problems and realize that they were much broader than generally appreciated by the consensus. We have chosen the date so that he will be able to incorporate third quarter results of many large financial institutions into his comments.
Time: 1:10:25
File Size: 25 MB
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“Global Trends in the E-Readiness of National Economies”

Date: October 23, 2007
Sponsor: Corporate Planning Roundtable
Speaker(s):
James W. Cortada, IBM Institute for Business Values
Sydney Smith Hicks, NABE Corporate Planning Roundtable Chair, moderater
James Cortada of the IBM Institute for Business Values looks at some of the lessons we've learned from how different countries approach the Internet.
Time: 55:11
File Size: 19 MB
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"Introducing New Measures of the Metropolitan Economy: BEA’s Prototype Estimates of GDP by Metropolitan Area"

Date: October 11, 2007
Sponsor: Regional Utility Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Ann Dunbar, Senior Economist, Regional Economic Measurement Division, BEA
John R. Kort, Chief, Regional Economic Analysis Division, BEA
Sharon D. Panek, Section Chief, Regional Economic Analysis Division, BEA
Ken Poole, Executive Director, Council for Community and Economic Research (C2ER)
Howard Wial, Regional Economist, The Brookings Institution
A discussion of the new measures of metropolitan gross domestic product released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Time: 54:00
File Size: 19 MB
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"Maintaining and Improving the Competitiveness of U.S. Capital Markets”

Date: May 30, 2007
Sponsor: Financial Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School, former Chair, President’s Council of Economic Advisers. Glenn Hubbard was named dean of Columbia Business School on July 1, 2004. A Columbia faculty member since 1988, he is also the Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics. The discussion will draw heavily on the work done at the Committee on Capital Markets Regulation (http://www.capmktsreg.org/index.html), which Dean Hubbard chairs.
Time: 32:38
File Size: 7.47 MB
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"Asian Capital Markets”

Date: May 17, 2007
Sponsor: International Roundtable
Speaker(s):
David Hale, Hale Advisors, LLC
David has recently met with officials and business leaders in Korea, Japan and China.  This teleconference will draw from those meetings.
Time: 44:11
File Size: 10.2 MB
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"Innovations in Convenient Care: Retail Clinics and Telemedicine"

Date: August 30, 2007
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Dan Patterson, an investor in SmartCare Family Medical Centers and TelaDoc
Michael Gorton, a founder of TelaDoc
Devon Herrick, Chair, Health Economics Roundtable, moderator
Typical primary care visits are inconvenient and often costly.  A visit to one’s doctor, even for routine care, requires that patients make an appointment — often well in advance. After patients travel to their physician’s office, they must queue in a waiting room.  In many cases, one’s primary care physician is not available. To fill a niche in primary care, entrepreneurs are creating innovative practices.  Increasingly, patients can interact with physicians in ways more convenient and less expensive than a tradition office visit. This teleconference explores two recent trends in routine primary care: convenient, retail-based, walk-in clinics and telemedicine, where patients consult with a physician by telephone.
Time: 1:11:06
File Size: 24.5 MB
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Policy Survey Teleconference

Date: August 27, 2007
Sponsor: NABE
Speaker(s):
Catherine Mann, Institute for International Economics/Brandeis University
Richard Brown, FDIC
Kathleen Camilli, Camilli Economics
This podcast discusses the results of the August 2007 NABE Policy Survey.
Time: 36:38
File Size: 12.5 MB
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"Reducing Greenhouse Gases: How Could it Work and Who Pays the Bill”

Date: May 16, 2007
Sponsor: Regional Utility Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Terry Dinan, Congressional Budget Office
Ray Kopp, Resources for the Future
Scientific evidence about the potential damage from climate change has increased the pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the United States.  Terry Dinan, an environmental expert at the Congressional Budget Office, and Ray Kopp an expert on energy issues at Resources for the Future will discuss the cap-and-trade program, in concept, and the distributional impacts of different allocation decisions, how the system is working in the European Union, current bills and the possibilities of using auctions instead of allocations. NABE members can download slideshows from Dinan and Kopp.
Time: 56:44
File Size: 13 MB
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“Financial Market Turmoil and Fed Market Action”

Date: August 22, 2007
Sponsor: NABE
Speaker(s):
Richard Berner, Chief U.S. Economist, Morgan Stanley (Presentation)
Stuart Hoffman, Chief Economist, PNC Financial Services Group
Carl Tannenbaum, NABE President and Chief Economist, LaSalle Bank, moderator
Listen to NABE experts Richard Berner of Morgan Stanley, Stuart Hoffman of PNC Financial Services Group, and Carl Tannenbaum, LaSalle Bank and NABE President, as they look at the volatility of financial markets and recent action by the Fed at the discount window.
Time: 1:04:34
File Size: 22.2 MB
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"Innovation, The Triple Helix, and the International Networks"

Date: August 7, 2007
Sponsor: Technology Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Leigh W. Jerome, Director, Institute for Triple Helix Innovation, Honolulu, HI
Dieter Ernst, Senior Fellow, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI (Presentation -- PDF 161 K)
David M. Hart, Associate Professor, School of Public Policy, George Mason University
Brooks Robinson, University of Hawaii, moderator
The “Triple Helix” is Academia, Industry, and Government. This podcast is a moderated discussion that looks at these questions: the definition of “innovation” morphing as the global knowledge economy unfolds? Why is innovation is important? And what roles are Academia, Industry, and Government to play? Does the resurgence of China and India pose a threat to U.S. innovation leadership? What do we know about strengths and weaknesses of Asia’s emerging knowledge economies? And what opportunities are beckoning for the U.S.? and more.
Time: 57:59
File Size: 19.9 MB
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"Turmoil in Credit Markets: Rational Re-Pricing, or, Emerging Credit Crunch?"

Date: August 7, 2007
Sponsor: Financial Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Martin Fridson, CFA, FridsonVision LLC
Mark Zandi , Moody's Economy.com Inc (Presentation -- PDF 282 K)
Joshua Rosner, Graham Fisher & Co
Richard DeKaser, National City Corporation, moderator
The past few weeks have witnessed a significant re-assessment of credit risk. Credit spreads on corporate debt have widened, bond issuances have been cancelled, and commercial lenders have tightened underwriting standards. While the deterioration of credit quality in mortgage markets is widely acknowledged as appropriate, there is less agreement regarding slippage in other debt markets. The economic implications, therefore, are murky.
Time: 1:02:36
File Size: 21.4 MB
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"Global Health Care:  Medical Travel and Medical Outsourcing”

Date: July 25, 2007
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Milica Bookman, Professor of Economics, Saint Joseph’s University
Rudy Rupak, President and Founder, PlanetHospital
Global competition is an emerging trend in the health care industry, as a growing number of high-quality health care facilities in developing countries have begun catering to so-called "medical tourists" or "medical travelers" from other countries. Uninsured patients and those from countries where care is rationed by waiting are also attracted to high-quality health care that is up to 80 percent less expensive than the cost of care in the United States. The speakers are Prof. Milica Bookman, Saint Joseph’s University , author of a new book, "Medical Tourism in Developing Countries," and Rudy Rupak, founder and CEO of PlanetHosptial, a firm dedicated to connecting patients with health care facilities abroad.
Time: 55:05
File Size: 12.7 MB
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“How Information Technology is Transforming Industries: Lessons from the Past”

Date: July 12, 2007
Sponsor: Corporate Planning Roundtable
Speaker(s):
James Cortada, IBM Institute for Business Values
James Cortada of the IBM Institute for Business Values looks at some of the lessons we've learned from the information technology revolution.
Time: 51:42
File Size: 5.9 MB
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“Death Spirals, Summer Swoons, Volcanic Rebounds and All That--Whither Goes Steel?”

Date: July 10, 2007
Sponsor: Manufacturing Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Peter F. Marcus, Managing Partner, World Steel Dynamics
Steel is pervasive in manufacturing, touching virtually every manufactured product. The steel industry has undergone profound change, with manifold implications for manufacturing. A wide array of forces is affecting the steel price outlook making it hard to read clearly at the present time. In this important teleconference, Peter Marcus of World Steel Dynamics examines the transition from the old continuum to the new continuum for steel, metallics supply and demand, consolidation, and the implications for pricing power among steel suppliers. A Q & A session follows. This teleconference is a must for any manufacturing company, trade association, or observer of this important industry. A paper is available for NABE members.
Time: 41:48
File Size: 9.6 MB
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“Pain at the Pump: How High Could Gasoline Prices Go in 2007?”

Date: June 14, 2007
Sponsor: Regional Utility Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Dr. Howard K. Gruenspecht, Deputy Administrator, Energy Information Administration
Dr. John C. Felmy, Chief Economist, American Petroleum Institute
Tight gasoline inventories, off-line refineries and steadily rising demand are combining to push summer 2007 U.S. gasoline prices to record highs in both nominal and real terms. This teleconference, sponsored by the NABE Regional-Utility Roundtable, will explore the reasons behind the recent surge in gas prices and the outlook for the remainder of 2007.
Time: 54:22
File Size: 25 MB
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"Immigration and Labor in the U.S.: Worker Outcomes and Labor Impacts"

Date: June 6, 2007
Sponsor: Manufacturing Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Rakesh Kochhar, Pew Hispanic Center
Diana Furchtgott-Roth, Center for Employment Policy and Hudson Institute Fellow
Steve Camarota, Center for Immigration Studies
Rakesh Kochhar, associate director for research at the Pew Hispanic Center,addressess foreign worker outcomes in the United States and the impact on native-born workers.  Diana Furchtgott-Roth, director of the Center for Employment Policy and senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, and Steve Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, offer their respective insights on the topic.  A question-and-answer session follows. A slideshow is available for NABE members.
Time: 1:14:29
File Size: 17 MB
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"Emerging Markets and Volatility"

Date: March 27, 2007
Sponsor: International Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist at Global Insight, looks at emerging markets and volatility. Since the stock market downturn in China on Feb. 27, markets in Asia and the rest of the world have tumbled. The NABE International Roundtable hosts Behravesh as he looks at whether there will be a bumpy road ahead. Download slide show (PDF, 280 K) NABE members only.
Time: 47:46
File Size: 10.9 MB
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"Hot Trends in Consumer Electronics"

Date: March 21, 2007
Sponsor: Technology Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Shawn DuBravec
Shawn DuBravec of the Consumer Electronics Association identifies the trends underpinning the consumer electronics industry and what this means for firms both up and down market. The presentation explores how these trends impact tomorrow's consumer including the continuing debate of DRM as well as the 2009 digital television transition. Slideshow (PDF, 2.15 MB NABE members only)
Time: 56:41
File Size: 12.9MB
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“Automotive Supply Chain Impact--Regional and National”

Date: March 6, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Brett Vassey
Brett Vassey of the Virginia Manufacturers Association (VMA) looks at what is happening at both a regional and national level to better understand the “ripple” effects of change in the U.S. automotive industry, particularly in the Southeast. In the podcast, he uses the recent market and regulatory influences affecting the automotive industry as a guide to illuminate different perspectives, opportunities and challenges in the future. NABE members can download a slideshow from this event.
Time: 45:13
File Size: 10.4 MB
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“Medicare Drug Negotiations:  Can the Government get a Better Deal?”

Date: February 28, 2007
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundatable
Speaker(s):
Kyna Fong
Kyna Fong, of the Stanford University Graduate School of Business, talks about the ability of Medicare to achieve price savings when it negotiates with drug companies. NABE members can download a slideshow from this event.
Time: 34:24
File Size: 7.87 MB
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"Prospects for Global Trade Talks and Trade Policy in the New Congress"

Date: March 12, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Jeffrey Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
This podcast, recorded at the NABE Washington Policy Conference, is by Jeffrey Schott, Senior Fellow of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. In it, he discusses the state of trade relations and the prospects for liberalization in the future.
Time: 47:44
File Size: 17 MB
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"China's Trillion in U.S. Dollar Reserves - Threat or Opportunity?"

Date: February 7, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Robert Hormats, Goldman Sachs (International)
This podcast looks at the dollar reserves accumulated by China due to the trade imbalance. There are possible dangers to this situation. It also may be the case that both China and the US profit by the situation and wish it to continue.
Time: 57:25
File Size: 13.8 MB
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"We Call It Subprime for a Reason"

Date: March 16, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Douglas Duncan, Mortgage Bankers Association
David Wyss, Standard & Poor's
David Berson, Fannie Mae
Concerns about the subprime mortgage market have been making the news lately. In the last NABE Outlook, subprime mortgage lending was identified by the NABE forecasters as posing the greatest risk to financial markets. At the same time, other headlines point to increases in both late payments and defaults. Take a closer look at this issue from the viewpoint of the mortgage banking industry with Douglas Duncan, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association; from the standpoint of the credit ratings industry, with David Wyss, chief economist of Standard & Poor's; and from the standpoint of Fannie Mae, with chief economist David Berson.
See more materials on this topic, including the slide shows of the speakers, at www.nabe.com/publib/tcsubprime.html.
Time: 49:28
File Size: 16.9 MB
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"The Housing and Mortgage Market Outlook: Soft Landing or Hard Fall?"

Date: January 17, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist, Freddie Mac
This podcast, sponsored by the NABE Regional Utility Roundtable, features Frank Nothaft, the Chief Economist at Freddie Mac. It looks at trends in the housing and mortgage market both nationally and regionally. Background material for this podcast is here.
Time: 57:56
File Size: 13.3 MB
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2006 Podcasts

"Manufacturing Outlook 2007"

Date: December 8, 2006
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Daniel J. Meckstroth, Chief Economist, Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI
Thomas Runiewicz, Principal/Senior Economist, Global Insight
This podcast sponsored by NABE's Manufacturing Roundtable examines the outlook for manufacturing in 2007 , and predicts which sectors may be the winners, and which may be the losers in the upcoming year. Background material for this podcast.
Time: 1:03:52
File Size: 14.6 MB
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"Preliminary Estimates of R&D's Role in GDP Growth"

Date: October 20, 2006
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Carol Robbins, Economist, US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Cliff Waldman, Economist, Manufacturers Alliance
Jeremy Leonard, Manufacturers Alliance
Innovation is considered one of the drivers of economic growth.  The U.S. spends more on R&D than any other country in the world and that is thought to be one of the country’s economic strengths. How much does R& D contribute to GDP growth? What role does R&D play in innovation and what other factors are important in that process? The Manufacturing Roundtable is pleased to announce a NABE teleconference on the topic of Innovation and R&D in the U.S. economy. Our speakers will be Carol Robbins of BEA and Cliff Waldman and Jeremy Leonard of the Manufacturers Alliance. Carol Robbins, the director of the R&D satellite account project, will discuss the preliminary estimates of R&D’s role in GDP growth.  Cliff Waldman and Jeremy Leonard will discuss their research on innovation and its determinants, the work they have done to model innovation in the U.S. manufacturing sector and the role R&D plays in innovation. Background material for this podcast.
Time: 59:24
File Size: 20.8 MB
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"Fiscal Policy After the Mid-Term Election"

Date: November 9, 2006
Sponsor: Financial Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Director of the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, and former Director of the Congressional Budget Office
Thomas D. Gallagher, Senior Managing Director ISI Group Inc
This teleconference looks at what we can expect in fiscal policy and in general economic policy after the Democratic victories in the House and Senate. The teleconference features Douglas Holtz-Eakin, former Director of the Congressional Budget Office, and Thomas Gallagher, who runs the ISI Group's Washington office, which analyzes the financial market implications of policy actions and political developments. Background material for this podcast.
Time: 52:23
File Size:
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“The ‘Wal-Mart Tax’ and State Medicaid Rules”

Date: August 22, 2006
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Michael J. Hicks, Associate Professor of Economics, Air Force Institute of Technology, and Research Professor, Marshall University
Perhaps 30 state legislatures have introduced legislation requiring businesses to provide a minimum level of expenditures on health care coverage to employees.  Styled as a Fair Share Health Care Act, these legislative efforts are known colloquially as the “Wal-Mart Tax.”  At least one state, Maryland, has passed this type of legislation (and over-ridden a gubernatorial veto).  This conference is designed to provide members background on the economic issues surrounding the “Wal-Mart Tax” and state Medicaid rules. Background material for this podcast.
Time: 51:01
File Size: 12,267,520 bytes
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“Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?”

Date: August 14, 2006
Sponsor: Financial Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Dr. Raghuram G. Rajan, Chief Economist, IMF
Raghuram Rajan of the International Monetary Fund looks at whether there is more financial risk in the world or not. This teleconference was a joint teleconference held at the FDIC's Risk Analysis Center.
Time: 42:33
File Size: 20,447,232 bytes (20 MB)
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"Dollar Weakness, the Impossible Trinity, and Sovereign Wealth Funds”

Date: May 31, 2006
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Michael Phillips and Dr. Niall Fraser, Open Options Corporation, will discuss how a game theoretic approach can be an effective strategic approach for addressing many complex business issues.  He will introduce the concept of game theory and present some case studies.  Participants will take away an understanding of the types of problems game theory has helped solve, the results it has achieved and the situations in it is most applicable. Background materials for this podcast.
Time: 40:17
File Size: 16 MB
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"Financial Market Reform in China"

Date: May 4, 2006
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
James Dorn, Vice President for Academic Affairs, Cato Institute and
John Thompson, Financial Economist, former Financial Advisor, OECD Financial Affairs and Enterprise Directorate
Moderator: Patrick Casey, AVP Forecasting & Planning, TTX Company
While China's currency policy continues to make headlines, that policy is but one aspect of evolving Chinese financial markets. The broader financial context, including issues such as capital controls, interest rate policy, price stability, privatization, savings rates, domestic equity ownership and foreign investment all will affect the health of China's economy and the direction of its vital trade relationship with the U.S. Both speakers bring their in-depth understanding of China to this discussion of the challenges of and prospects for Chinese financial reform.
Time: 1:02:27
File Size: 7,495,680 bytes
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“Transfer Pricing Economics:  Issues Raised By The IRS’ Proposed Cost Sharing Regulations”

Date: April 27, 2006
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Richard Clark, Deloitte, moderator
Russell Kwiat, Internal Revenue Service
George Carlson, Deloitte
Dan Peters, Duff and Phelps
John Wills
, Ernst & Young
U.S. tax regulations permit companies within an affiliated group to share the costs of developing technology and other valuable intellectual property.  In establishing a new cost sharing arrangement (CSA), invariably a key issue is how much the cost sharing participants should pay for the rights to existing or in-process IP that will be used in the development of new IP under the CSA.  The IRS has been concerned that some taxpayers have used existing regulations to justify low buy-in payments for CSAs and, as a result, transferred valuable IP to offshore entities, often in tax advantaged locations, with inadequate compensation to the U.S. parent company.  In response, the IRS issued proposed regulations that would change the way buy in payments must be determined.  Central to the proposed regulations is an income method, which is new to the transfer pricing regulations but is commonly used in other valuation contexts.  A distinguished panel of practitioners and current and former government officials will discuss some of the key economic issues raised by this proposed change in the cost sharing regulations.
Time: 40:17
File Size: 16 MB
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"Climate Change: An Economic View"

Date: April 18, 2006
Sponsor: Co-sponsored by the Manufacturing Roundtable, Corporate Planning Roundtable, and Regional Utility Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Bob Shackleton, Congressional Budget Office
Learn about the basic climate science and the historical and projected climate change along with the uncertainties with respect to that change. Hear about the economics of climate change: stock externalities, discounting, distribution of costs, and mitigation (quantity, price, and technology). Bob Shackleton has served as a senior analyst in the Macroeconomic Analysis Division at the Congressional Budget Office since 1999, working on climate change, global demographics, retirement preparation, and international remittances. From 1991 to 1999 he worked on climate issues at the Environmental Protection Agency. He received his B.A. in Economics and Political Science from Yale College and his M.A. and Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Maryland at College Park. Slideshow (PDF, NABE members only)
Time: 1:07
File Size: 7.8 MB
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"Shopping for Health Care"

Date: April 11, 2006
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundtable and the Technology Roundtable
Speaker(s):
John Goodman, President, National Center Policy for Analysis
Many Europeans believe that in America health is rationed by price, whereas in Europe it is generally made available for free. In fact, health care is almost as free at the point of consumption in America as it is in Europe.  We do not use price rationing. Instead we ration the same way other developed countries ration care - with our time.  But rationing by waiting creates a net social loss.
To find radically different physician behavior, one must look at markets where third-party payers are not involved. If health insurance worked like the insurance people purchase for their homes and automobiles, reimbursements would cover the expected cost of care for most providers; but patients would be free to negotiate prices with individual providers and pay more for better service.  Some assume that we need a new government program to kick-start needed technological changes. Yet the private sector already has developed many of the tools to solve these problems. And turn patients into medical shoppers. Time: 53 minutes
File Size: 6.4 MB
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"Risks in the Financial System"

Date: December 11, 2007
Sponsor:
Speaker(s):
Henry Kaufmann, Henry Kaufman & Company, Inc
Time: 49 minutes
File Size: 5.6 MB
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“The President’s Health Care Agenda”

Date: December 11, 2007
Sponsor: Health Economics Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Roy Ramthun, Special Assistant to President Bush for Economic Policy
Time: 44 minutes
File Size: 5.6 MB
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"Currency Outlook 2006: Currencies in Europe and Asia"

Date: February 9, 2006
Sponsor: International Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Paul Donovan, Deputy Head, Global Economics, UBS Investment Bank
Todd Lee, Managing Director, Greater China, Global Insight
Time: 40 minutes
File Size: 4.6 MB
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“Currency Outlook 2006:Currencies in the Americas”

Date: February 1, 2006
Sponsor: International Roundtable Teleconference
Speaker(s):
Tim O’Neill, O’Neill Strategic Economics, Ontario, Canada
Michael Warren, National Manager, Toyota Motor North America
Time: 45 minutes
File Size: 5.14 MB
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"The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism"

Date: January 24, 2006
Sponsor: Financial Roundtable
Speaker(s):
John Bogle, Founder , Vanguard Group, Inc. , and President , Bogle Financial Markets Research Center
John Bogle’s recent book outlines what he sees as important shortcomings of U.S. corporate governance in the wake of Sarbanes-Oxley.  These include boards that do not effectively protect shareholders by reigning in the excesses of managers; a shortening of the investment time horizon (the “rent-a-stock” system) that undermines market discipline; and excessive costs imposed by mutual fund managers who are more motivated by sales and fees than by stewardship. Fortunately, Bogle’s book is packed with concrete recommendations to address these issues, including reform in the way stock options are structured and expensed, a widening the scope of required financial reporting, and disclosure by mutual funds as to how they voted the proxies of their shareholders.  In this teleconference, held at the FDIC Risk Analysis Center, Mr. Bogle presented a summary of his views on these issues and addressed questions from the audience.
Time: 60 min
File Size: 10 MB
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"Issues in the External Environment"

Date: January 10, 2006
Sponsor: Corporate Planning Roundtable
Speaker(s):
Nariman Behravesh, Executive Vice President and Chief Economist for Global Insight.
An update, touching on topics such as the outlook for U.S. economic growth, China, oil prices, housing, inflation, interest rates, the dollar and the current account deficit.
Time: 52 minutes
File Size: 6 MB
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Free for Members Only Podcasts

NABE Industry Survey

Date: April 21, 2008
Speaker(s):
Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
Bill Strauss, FRB of Chicago
Pat Casey, TTX Company
Lloyd Nace, The Trane Company
Susan Sterne, Economic Analysis Associates
Time: 37:24:00
File: 8.6 MB
Download it now

NABE Outlook Survey

Date: February 25, 2008
Speakers:
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Ford Motor Company
Lynn Reaser, Bank of America
Robert Fry, Dupont
Charles Steindel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Time: 23:05
File size: 21.2 MB
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NABE Industry Survey

Date: January 22, 2008
Speaker(s):
Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America
Paul Thomas, Intel
Bill Strauss, FRB of Chicago
Time: 14:00
File: 4.1 MB
Download it now

NABE Outlook Survey

Date: November 19, 2007
Speaker(s):
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Ford Motor Company
Lynn Reaser, Bank of America
Robert Fry, Dupont
Charles Steindel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
The panelist discuss the result of the NABE Outlook released 11/19/07. This podcast provides economic forecasts for 2007 and 2008 on 28 major economic variables.  It also covers the outlook for oil and gasoline prices, housing, and inflation, and the likelihood of a recession.
Time: 31:48
File: 11.8 MB
Download it now.

NABE Industry Survey

Date: October 22, 2007
Speaker(s):
Paul Thomas, Intel Corporation
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
This podcast discusses the results of the October 2007 NABE Industry Survey. The teleconference was held 10/22/2007.
Time: 33:51
File: 11.6 MB
Download it now.

NABE Policy Survey

Date: August 27, 2007
Speaker(s):
Catherine Mann, Institute for International Economics/Brandeis University
Richard Brown, FDIC
Kathleen Camilli, Camilli Economics
This podcast discusses the results of the August 2007 NABE Policy Survey. The teleconference was held 8/27/07.
Time: 36:38
File: 12.5 MB
Download it now.

NABE Industry Survey

Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
This podcast discusses the results of the July 2007 NABE Industry Survey. Ken Simonson of Associated General Contractors and Sara Johnson of Global Insight discuss demand, prices, costs, employment, profit margins, capital spending, and shortages. Special questions deal with the housing market. The teleconference was held 7/23/07.
Time: 20:30; File Size 9.6 MB.
Price: Free. Download here.

Carl Tannenbaum, LaSalle Bank/ABN Amro
Charles Steindel, FRB of New York
"NABE Outlook May 2007"
This podcast by Carl Tannenbaum, LaSalle Bank/ABN Amro and Charles Steindel, FRB of New York, discusses the results of the NABE Outlook. The Outlook was released on 5/21/2007. NABE members can download the slide show and data from the NABE Outlook.
Time: 31:15; File Size 4.5 MB
Price: Free. Download here.

Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
Willam Strauss, The Chicago Fed
"The NABE Industry Survey April 2007"
This podcast discusses the results of the January 2007 NABE Industry Survey . Ken Simonson of Associated General Contractors, Sara Johnson of Global Insight, and William Strauss of the Chicago Fed discuss demand, prices, costs, employment, profit margins, capital spending, and shortages. Special questions deal with the housing market. The teleconference was held 4/23/07.
Time: 20:11. Size 4.8 MB.
Price: Free. Download here.

Carl Tannenbaum, John Silvia, Charles Steindel
"NABE Outlook 2/26/2007"
This podcast discusses the results of the February 2007 NABE Outllok. Carl Tannenbaum of LaSalle Bank/ ABN AMRO, John Silvia of Wachovia Bank, and Charles Steindel of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York lead the discussion. The teleconference was held 2/26/2007.
Time 28:07. Size 6.5 MB
Price: Free; Download here.

Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors
Gene Huang, FedEx
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
"The NABE Industry Survey January 2007"
This podcast discusses the results of the January 2007 NABE Industry Survey . Ken Simonson of Associated General Contractors, Gene Huang of FedEx, and Sara Johnson of Global Insight discuss demand, prices, costs, employment, profit margins, capital spending, and shortages. Special questions deal with the housing market. The teleconference was held 1/22/07.
Time: 22:57. Size 5.4 MB.
Price: Free. Download here.

Carl Tannenbaum, LaSalle Bank/ABN AMRO, N.A.
John Silvia, Wachovia Bank, N.A.
Lynn Reaser, Bank of America
Charles Steindel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
This podcast is from the teleconference discussing the NABE Outlook released 11/20/2006. Topics covered include economic growth, housing, inflation, employment, and oil prices.
Time: 16:34; Size 3.81 MB
Price: Free. Download here.

Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors
Patrick Casey, TTX Corporation
Sara Johnson, Global Insight
"The NABE Industry Survey, October 2006"
This podcast is from the teleconference discussing the NABE Industry Survey released 10/26/06. Topics covered include industry demand, profit margins, employment, and capital spending.
Time: 23:56; Size 8.2 MB
Price: Free. Download here.

Stuart Hoffman, David Wyss, Kathleen Camilli, Catherine Mann, Loren Scott
"NABE Policy Survey Teleconference"
A teleconference to discuss the results of the August 28, 2006 NABE Podcast, covering the greatest risks to the economy, as well as the greatest strength; fiscal policy; monetary policy; and energy.
8/28/2006
Time: 29:54, File Size: 6.9 MB
Price: Free. Download here

Jim Meil, Ken Simonsen, and Gene Huang
NABE Industry Survey, July 2006
This teleconference discusses the NABE Industry Survey released 7/14/2006, including a look at industry demand, costs, profit margins, and capital spending.
Time: 43:55; Size 5,289,006 bytes
Price: Free for NABE members; Download here

Stuart Hoffman, Chris Varvares, Kurt Karl
"NABE Outlook, May 2006"
This teleconference discusses the NABE Outlook released on May 8, 2006, with forecasts of GDP, inflation, employment, interest rates, exchange rates, the price of oil, and more.
Price: Free for NABE members

Ken Simonsen and Jim Meil
"NABE Industry Survey 4/21/06"
This teleconference discussed the results of the NABE Industry Survey conducted in April 2006. The questions discussed include: Is the economy still strong? Are industries seeing price increases from suppliers?  Are they responding by increasing prices? How tight are labor markets now? How ambitious are hiring and capital spending plans for 2006? Is there a slow-down in housing?  If so, what business sectors are feeling the impact? How are 2006 business plans shaping up – what factors pose downside and upside risks? (MP3, 3.2 MB, 27:08)
Price: Free for NABE members

Jim Meil, Eaton Corporation, and Gene Huang, FedEd
NABE Industry Survey Teleconference 1/23/2006
This teleconference reviews the January, 2006 NABE Industry Survey. (MP3, 4.7 MB, 41 minutes)
Price: Free for NABE members

NABE Outlook Teleconference
Stuart Hoffman, PNC Corporation and NABE President, and Chris Varvares, Macroeconomic Advisers.
This is a discussion of the 2/27/06 NABE Outlook.(MP3, 2.7 MB, 25 minutes)
Price: Free for NABE members