Conference Program
Updated: October 13, 2012
Preconference Events
Saturday, October 13
12:00-4:00 PM Tour of Ellis Island (Tickets $50, not included in conference registration)
5:00-6:15 PM President’s Welcome Reception
8:00 PM - Theatre Trip: War Horse, (Tickets $145, not included in conference registration)
For more details on the preconference events, click here.
Program
Sunday, October 14
8:00-9:45 AM Breakfast with the Author (separate registration required)
Josh Rosner, author of Reckless Endangerment
10:00-10:45 AM Skills Seminar I: High-Impact Economists: How to Create Value in a Complex Environment
Constance Hunter, NABE Director, moderator
Peter Evans, NABE Director; Senior Director - Global Strategy and Planning, GE Energy
John Ryding, Chief Economist and founding partner, RDQ Economics
Richard Yamarone, Senior Economist, Bloomberg
10:45-11:30 AM Skills Seminar II: Applying NBER Research in a Business Economics Setting
"Capital Structure at Large Publicly Traded Corporations"
John Graham, NBER Research Associate and Professor of Finance, Duke University
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company, moderator
Kevin Kliesen, Business Economist and Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, moderator
11:45 AM - 1:15 PM Luncheon: "Financial Reform: We Need Tough Love to Build the Bridge Between Wall Street and Main Street"
Tod Van Name, FX Global Business Manager, Bloomberg, presiding
Sheila Bair, 19th Chairperson of the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance CorporationPresentation of the NABE Outlook Award
1:30-2:30 PM NBER Session: Housing Recovery? A look at Financing Fundamentals and Demographics
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company, moderator
Ed Glaeser, Harvard University
Joseph Gyourko, Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania
2:30-3:30 PM China's Path Forward
Constance Hunter, NABE Director, moderator
Li Kai, Vice Chairman, China's State Information Center (SIC)
Daniel Rosen, Partner, Rhodium Group
3:30-4:00 PM Networking Break
4:00-5:15 PM Concurrent Sessions I
A. Banks & Slowing Recovery: The Challenges Ahead
Michel Léonard, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist, Alliant Insurance, moderator
Carl Tannenbaum, Former NABE President; Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Northern Trust
Christopher Whalen, Senior Managing Director, Tangent Capital PartnersB. Big Data: How Technology Is Transforming Business Decision Making
Sara Potter, FactSet, moderator
David K.A. Mordecai, President and Co-founder, Risk Economics
Will Tucker, Senior Associate, ideas42C. Wall St. Perspective on the Health Sector and Health Reform
Paul Hughes-Cromwick, Senior Health Economist, Altarum Institute, moderator
Matthew Borsch, CFA, Vice President, Global Investment Research, Goldman Sachs
Kim Monk, Managing Director, Capital Alpha Partners, LLC
Sheryl Skolnick, PhD, Managing Director and Co-Head of Research, CRT Capital Group LLC
5:15-5:45 PM NABE Business Meeting
6:00-7:30 PM Evening Reception Hosted by IHS Global Insight
Federal Hall
26 Wall Street
New York, NY 10005
7:30 PM Get Connected Gathering
The Bailey Brasserie and Pub
52 Williams St.
New York, NY 10005
Monday, October 15
7:00-8:00 AM Continental Breakfast
8:00-8:45 AM "The Recovery and Monetary Policy"
Lynn Reaser, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University, presiding
William C. Dudley, President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
8:45-9:45 AM European Economic Update, Intersection between Finance and Real Activity
Cecilia Hermansson, NABE Director; Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Swedbank, moderator
Manuel Balmaseda, Chief Economist, CEMEX
Eric Chaney, Chief Economist, AXA Group, Head of Research, AXA IM
9:45-10:00 AM NABE Outlook
Ken Simonson, NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, Associated General Contractors of America
10:00-10:30 AM Networking Break
10:30-11:45 AM Concurrent Sessions II
A. Consumer Spending and Finance Nexus
Charles Steindel, Chief Economist, New Jersey Treasury, moderator
Gregory Ellihausen, Federal Reserve Board
Torsten Slok, Deutsche BankB. Lessons Learned from Two Years of Supply Chain Disruptions
Pat Casey, Vice President, Fleet Management, TTX Company, moderator
Michael W. Held, Specialist Leader in Supply Chain & Manufacturing Operations, Deloitte
Thomas Holzheu, Chief Economist, North America and Head of Economic Research & Consulting, North America, Swiss ReC. Commodity Markets: Are Financial Markets a New Driver?
Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments, moderator
L. Christopher Plantier, Senior Economist, Investment Company Institute
Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group
11:45-1:15 PM Luncheon: Adam Smith Award Luncheon
Gene Huang, NABE President, Vice President and Chief Economist, FedEx Corporation, presiding
George Soros, Founding Sponsor, Institute for New Economic Thinking; Chairman, Soros Fund ManagementSession moderated by Anatole Kaletsky, Chairman of the Governing Board, Institute for New Economic Thinking
1:30-2:40 PM Concurrent Sessions III
A. Can Private Data Improve our Official Statistics?
Maurine Haver, Former NABE President; President, Haver Analytics, moderator
Alberto Cavallo, MIT Sloan, The Billion Prices Project
Michael Horrigan, Associate Commissioner, U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsB. New Oil and Gas Resources and the Markets They Impact
Dong Fu, Senior Economist, ExxonMobil
John Larson, Vice President, IHS Global Insight
Ed Morse, Managing Director and Global Head of Commodities Research, Citigroup C. The New Financing Environment for Small Business
William Dunkelberg, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, National Federation of Independent Business, moderator
Paul Downs, You're the Boss, NY Times Blogger
Paul Merski, Executive VP and Chief Economist, Independent Community Bankers of America
2:40-3:05 PM Networking Break
3:05-4:00 PM Financial Stability and Complexity
Perry Mehrling, Professor of Economics, Columbia University, moderator
Tobias Adrian, Vice President - Capital Markets Function, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Ren Cheng, Senior Research Consultant, Fidelity Investments
Jonathan Sokobin, Chief of Analytical Strategy, Office of Financial Research, U.S. Department of the Treasury
Hyun Song Shin, Hughes-Rogers Professor of Economics, Princeton University
4:00-4:45 Finance and the Good Society
Jack Kleinhenz, NABE Vice President-elect; Chief Economist, National Retail Federation, moderator
Robert Shiller, Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale University
4:45-5:30 PM NABE Presidential Address
Ken Simonson, NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, Associated General Contractors of America, presiding
Gene Huang, NABE President; Vice President and Chief Economist, FedEx Corporation
6:15-7:45 PM Evening Reception
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045
8:00 PM Small Group Dinners (area restaurants)
Tuesday, October 16
7:30-8:45 AM Breakfast: "Economic Narratives and Economic Policy"
Robert Fry, Senior Economist, Dupont, presiding
Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School
9:00-10:15 AM Concurrent Sessions IV
A. Housing Market Outlook: Finding a Solid Foundation
David Crowe, Chief Economist, National Association of Home Builders, moderator
Laurie Goodman, Senior Managing Director, Amherst Securities
Dennis McGill, Director of Research, Zelman & AssociatesB. Presentation of 2012 Edmund A. Mennis Award-Winning Papers
Robert Crow, Editor, Business Economics
"Real-Time GDP Forecasting Revisited: Letting the Data Decide," Jack Kitchen / John Kitchen
"Connecting U.S. Health Expenditures to the Health Sector Workforce," Ani Turner / Paul Hughes-Cromwick
"Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?" Mark Vitner / Azhar Iqbal
C. Specialty Credit: What Role Does it Play in Driving a Dynamic Economy and Entrepreneurship
Robert Strom, Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, moderator
Tim Howe, Partner, CHL Medical, Adjunct Professor, Columbia Business School
Pamela Lawrence, Co-Founder and Managing Principal, Restoration Capital Management LLC
Traci Mach, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Board
10:15-10:45 AM Networking Break
10:45 AM -11:30 AM A View from the Administration
Adolfo Laurenti, NABE Director; Deputy Chief Economist and Managing Director, Mesirow Financial, moderator
Gene Sperling, Director, National Economic Council
11:30 AM – 12:20 PM Post-election Economic Policy Outlook
Diane Swonk, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Mesirow Financial, moderator
Andy Laperriere, ISI Group
Kim Wallace, Renaissance Macro Research
12:30-1:45 PM Luncheon: “The Road Ahead: The Graying of America and its Implications for Finance and the Economy”
Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, NABE Director; Director of Research, Fidelity Investments, presiding
Roger Ferguson, President and Chief Executive Officer, TIAA-CREF; former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPresentation of the Julius Shiskin Award, Edmund A. Mennis Award, and the Adolph G. Abramson Award.
2:00-3:00 PM Closing Session: Why Politicians are Wrong to be Obsessed by Outsourcing
John Silvia, Chairman, The NABE Foundation; Managing Director and Chief Economist, Wells Fargo, presiding
Jagdish Bhagwati, Professor of Economics and Law, Columbia University
POST-CONFERENCE BONUS SESSION PRESENTED BY NABE GET CONNECTED
3:15-4:15 PM What You Need to Know to Get Hired –Career Outlook for Economists
Martha Evans, Florida State University and Evans Economic Consulting, moderator
David Crowe, Chief Economist, National Association of Home Builders
Sara Johnson, Senior Research Director, IHS Global Insight
Andrew Massad , Marketing Manager of Competitive Programs, IBM
Ewa Nucinska, Senior Investment Risk Analyst, State Street Bank (Poland)
