Conference Program

Updated: October 13, 2012

Preconference Events

Saturday, October 13

12:00-4:00 PM Tour of Ellis Island (Tickets $50, not included in conference registration)

5:00-6:15 PM President’s Welcome Reception

8:00 PM - Theatre Trip: War Horse, (Tickets $145, not included in conference registration)

For more details on the preconference events, click here.



Sunday, October 14

8:00-9:45 AM Breakfast with the Author (separate registration required)

Josh Rosner, author of Reckless Endangerment

10:00-10:45 AM Skills Seminar I: High-Impact Economists: How to Create Value in a Complex Environment

Constance Hunter, NABE Director, moderator 
Peter Evans
, NABE Director; Senior Director - Global Strategy and Planning, GE Energy 
John Ryding
, Chief Economist and founding partner, RDQ Economics
Richard Yamarone, Senior Economist, Bloomberg

10:45-11:30 AM Skills Seminar II: Applying NBER Research in a Business Economics Setting

"Capital Structure at Large Publicly Traded Corporations"
John Graham, NBER Research Associate and Professor of Finance, Duke University
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick
, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company, moderator
Kevin Kliesen, Business Economist and Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, moderator

11:45 AM - 1:15 PM Luncheon: "Financial Reform: We Need Tough Love to Build the Bridge Between Wall Street and Main Street"

Tod Van Name, FX Global Business Manager, Bloomberg, presiding
Sheila Bair, 19th Chairperson of the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

Presentation of the NABE Outlook Award

1:30-2:30 PM NBER Session: Housing Recovery? A look at Financing Fundamentals and Demographics

   Ellen Hughes-Cromwick,  Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company, moderator       
   Ed Glaeser, Harvard University
   Joseph Gyourko, Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania

2:30-3:30 PM China's Path Forward

   Constance Hunter, NABE Director, moderator
   Li Kai
, Vice Chairman, China's State Information Center (SIC)
   Daniel Rosen, Partner, Rhodium Group   

3:30-4:00 PM Networking Break

4:00-5:15 PM Concurrent Sessions I

A. Banks & Slowing Recovery: The Challenges Ahead

Michel Léonard, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist, Alliant Insurance, moderator
Carl Tannenbaum, Former NABE President; Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Northern Trust
Christopher Whalen, Senior Managing Director, Tangent Capital Partners

B. Big Data: How Technology Is Transforming Business Decision Making

Sara Potter, FactSet, moderator
David K.A. Mordecai, President and Co-founder, Risk Economics
Will Tucker, Senior Associate, ideas42

C. Wall St. Perspective on the Health Sector and Health Reform

Paul Hughes-Cromwick, Senior Health Economist, Altarum Institute, moderator 
Matthew Borsch, CFA, Vice President, Global Investment Research, Goldman Sachs
Kim Monk, Managing Director, Capital Alpha Partners, LLC
Sheryl Skolnick, PhD, Managing Director and Co-Head of Research, CRT Capital Group LLC

5:15-5:45 PM NABE Business Meeting

6:00-7:30 PM Evening Reception Hosted by IHS Global Insight
           Federal Hall 
           26 Wall Street
           New York, NY 10005

7:30 PM Get Connected Gathering
           The Bailey Brasserie and Pub
           52 Williams St. 
           New York, NY 10005


Monday, October 15

7:00-8:00 AM Continental Breakfast

8:00-8:45 AM "The Recovery and Monetary Policy"

Lynn Reaser, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University, presiding 
William C. Dudley
, President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

8:45-9:45 AM European Economic Update, Intersection between Finance and Real Activity

Cecilia Hermansson, NABE Director; Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Swedbank, moderator
Manuel Balmaseda, Chief Economist, CEMEX
Eric Chaney, Chief Economist, AXA Group, Head of Research, AXA IM

9:45-10:00 AM NABE Outlook

Ken Simonson, NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, Associated General Contractors of America

10:00-10:30 AM Networking Break

10:30-11:45 AM Concurrent Sessions II

A. Consumer Spending and Finance Nexus

Charles Steindel, Chief Economist, New Jersey Treasury, moderator
Gregory Ellihausen
, Federal Reserve Board
Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank

B. Lessons Learned from Two Years of Supply Chain Disruptions

   Pat Casey, Vice President, Fleet Management, TTX Company, moderator
   Michael W. Held
, Specialist Leader in Supply Chain & Manufacturing Operations, Deloitte
   Thomas Holzheu
, Chief Economist, North America and Head of Economic Research & Consulting, North America, Swiss Re

C. Commodity Markets: Are Financial Markets a New Driver?

Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments, moderator
L. Christopher Plantier
, Senior Economist, Investment Company Institute
Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group

11:45-1:15 PM Luncheon: Adam Smith Award Luncheon

Gene Huang, NABE President, Vice President and Chief Economist, FedEx Corporation, presiding
George Soros
, Founding Sponsor, Institute for New Economic Thinking; Chairman, Soros Fund Management

Session moderated by Anatole Kaletsky, Chairman of the Governing Board, Institute for New Economic Thinking       

1:30-2:40 PM Concurrent Sessions III

A. Can Private Data Improve our Official Statistics?

Maurine Haver, Former NABE President; President, Haver Analytics, moderator
Alberto Cavallo, MIT Sloan, The Billion Prices Project
Michael Horrigan, Associate Commissioner, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

B. New Oil and Gas Resources and the Markets They Impact

           Dong Fu, Senior Economist, ExxonMobil
John Larson, Vice President, IHS Global Insight
Ed Morse, Managing Director and Global Head of Commodities Research, Citigroup 

C. The New Financing Environment for Small Business

           William Dunkelberg
, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, National Federation of Independent Business, moderator
           Paul DownsYou're the Boss, NY Times Blogger
           Paul Merski, Executive VP and Chief Economist, Independent Community Bankers of America

2:40-3:05 PM Networking Break

3:05-4:00 PM Financial Stability and Complexity

   Perry Mehrling, Professor of Economics, Columbia University, moderator           
   Tobias Adrian
, Vice President - Capital Markets Function, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Ren Cheng, Senior Research Consultant, Fidelity Investments
   Jonathan Sokobin, Chief of Analytical Strategy, Office of Financial Research, U.S. Department of the Treasury
   Hyun Song Shin, Hughes-Rogers Professor of Economics, Princeton University

4:00-4:45 Finance and the Good Society

Jack Kleinhenz, NABE Vice President-elect; Chief Economist, National Retail Federation, moderator
Robert Shiller, Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale University

4:45-5:30 PM NABE Presidential Address

Ken Simonson, NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, Associated General Contractors of America, presiding
Gene Huang
, NABE President; Vice President and Chief Economist, FedEx Corporation

6:15-7:45 PM Evening Reception

Federal Reserve Bank of New York
33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045

8:00 PM Small Group Dinners (area restaurants)


Tuesday, October 16

7:30-8:45 AM Breakfast: "Economic Narratives and Economic Policy"

Robert Fry, Senior Economist, Dupont, presiding 
Glenn Hubbard
, Dean, Columbia Business School

9:00-10:15 AM Concurrent Sessions IV

A. Housing Market Outlook: Finding a Solid Foundation

David Crowe, Chief Economist, National Association of Home Builders, moderator 
Laurie Goodman, Senior Managing Director, Amherst Securities 
Dennis McGill, Director of Research, Zelman & Associates

B. Presentation of 2012 Edmund A. Mennis Award-Winning Papers

   Robert Crow, Editor, Business Economics

   "Real-Time GDP Forecasting Revisited: Letting the Data Decide," Jack Kitchen / John Kitchen 

   "Connecting U.S. Health Expenditures to the Health Sector Workforce," Ani Turner / Paul Hughes-Cromwick 

   "Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?" Mark Vitner / Azhar Iqbal

C. Specialty Credit: What Role Does it Play in Driving a Dynamic Economy and Entrepreneurship

Robert StromEwing Marion Kauffman Foundation, moderator
Tim Howe
, Partner, CHL Medical, Adjunct Professor, Columbia Business School
Pamela Lawrence, Co-Founder and Managing Principal, Restoration Capital Management LLC
Traci Mach, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Board

10:15-10:45 AM Networking Break

10:45 AM -11:30 AM A View from the Administration

   Adolfo Laurenti, NABE Director; Deputy Chief Economist and Managing Director, Mesirow Financial, moderator
   Gene Sperling, Director, National Economic Council 

11:30 AM – 12:20 PM Post-election Economic Policy Outlook

Diane Swonk, Former NABE President; Chief Economist, Mesirow Financial, moderator
Andy Laperriere
, ISI Group
Kim Wallace, Renaissance Macro Research

12:30-1:45 PM Luncheon:  “The Road Ahead: The Graying of America and its Implications for Finance and the Economy”     

Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, NABE Director; Director of Research, Fidelity Investments, presiding 
Roger Ferguson
, President and Chief Executive Officer, TIAA-CREF; former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Presentation of the Julius Shiskin Award, Edmund A. Mennis Award, and the Adolph G. Abramson Award.

2:00-3:00 PM Closing Session: Why Politicians are Wrong to be Obsessed by Outsourcing

John Silvia, Chairman, The NABE Foundation; Managing Director and Chief Economist, Wells Fargo, presiding
Jagdish Bhagwati, Professor of Economics and Law, Columbia University


3:15-4:15 PM What You Need to Know to Get Hired –Career Outlook for Economists

Martha Evans, Florida State University and Evans Economic Consulting, moderator
David Crowe
, Chief Economist, National Association of Home Builders
Sara Johnson, Senior Research Director, IHS Global Insight
Andrew Massad , Marketing Manager of Competitive Programs, IBM
Ewa Nucinska, Senior Investment Risk Analyst, State Street Bank (Poland)


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