Session 26 Forecasting and Planning for New Directions in International Trade
International trade is surging as new global economic relationships are forged. What is the outlook for international trade volumes by countries and products, focusing on trade among the United States, Asia, Latin America, and key emerging markets? Do relationships such as the growing China-Brazil-Africa nexus mean a decoupling of the global economy from the United States? How do Port Executives use forecasts in strategic planning and what are the globalization challenges facing ports today?
Sponsor: International Roundtable
Presentations
Links of Interest
Speakers
Sara Johnson
Global Insight
Sara Johnson is Managing Director of Global Macroeconomics where she is responsible for advising clients on worldwide business opportunities and risks. She is also Chief Economist for the Consumer Markets practice, which forecasts and interprets economic and demographic trends affecting retailers, consumer products companies, and financial institutions. Her areas of expertise include the U.S. and global economic outlooks, consumer spending and finances, exchange rates and interest rates, economic impacts of oil prices and the global construction industry outlook. She holds degrees in economics from Wellesley College and Harvard University.
Maria Bertram
Global Insight
Maria manages the international trade consulting business segment in Global Insight's Global Trade & Transportation practice. While at Global Insight Mrs. Bertram's work has concentrated in international trade and macroeconomic analysis, port development and hinterland transportation, shipping industry performance and seaborne transportation costs. In this capacity she directed the development of a financial model analyzing toll increases and alternative financing mechanisms for expansion of the Panama Canal. Mrs. Bertram recently managed Global Insight's work on the Legal and Economic Analysis of Tramp Shipping study commissioned by the European Commission and completed cargo forecasts for a number of countries in the Indian Ocean. Mrs. Bertram recently returned from Nicaragua where she completed a cargo forecast and competitiveness analysis for the Port of Corinto.
Mrs. Bertram has her Masters degree in International Economics and Finance from Brandeis University and her Bachelors of Economics from Miami University in Oxford Ohio.
Larry Cottrill
Port of Long Beach
Larry Cottrill has been involved in long range port planning for over twenty years. Since arriving at the Port of Long Beach six years ago, Mr. Cottrill has managed the preparation of long range plans for several large marine terminals. He also directed the preparation of joint studies with the Port of Los Angeles involving the forecast of San Pedro Bay’s container fleet, and container and non-container cargo. Mr. Cottrill is also responsible for maintaining the Port’s economic impact modeling system that he helped develop with Rutgers University’s Center for Urban Policy Research. Prior to joining the Port of Long Beach, Mr. Cottrill worked for the Port of Los Angeles for 15 years, where he served 10 years as the Deputy Director of Planning and Research. In that capacity he was responsible for preparing cargo forecasts and market studies for a number of development projects as well as for the 2020 Plan, the first comprehensive land use plan for San Pedro Bay.
Mr. Cottrill is a charter member of the American Planning Association and has taught city planning classes in the graduate program at California State Polytechnic University, Pomona. He received his B.S. degree from Cal Poly with honors and a Master of Urban Planning degree from the University of Washington. Mr. Cottrill is a recent recipient of the Innovative Intermodal Solutions for Urban Transportation Award from the Institute of Transportation Engineers.
