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Session 2: NABE Skills Session: The Useful Role of Forecast Surveys

Sunday, 10:15-11:45 am, Ballroom C

Our panelists will discuss the value that various surveys play in better understanding the economy and each survey's useful role in accurate economic forecasting. This session is a must for economists operating in a business/consulting position.

Session Downloads

Daniel Waggoner, Evaluating and Choosing Forecasts: The Wall Street Journal Survey (slides)

Links of Interest

"Evaluating Wall Street Journal Forecasters: A Multivariate Approach". Business Economics, July, 2002. (PDF)

Speakers

Harvey Rosenblum
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas,
presiding

meldrumDuncan Meldrum
Chief Economist
Air Products and Chemicals
NABE President

Duncan Meldrum is the Chief Economist for Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., a $5.5 billion industrial gas and chemicals company serving customers in over 30 countries. As Chief Economist, he assesses the impact of the economic environment on the company’s performance for the executive management team and develops global economic assumptions for the company’s operating plans. He provides operating groups with pricing assistance, contract support and market analyses. He also serves as the company’s economics spokesperson.

He received a B.S. degree from the U.S. Naval Academy in 1973, a M.S. degree in Operations Research from the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School in 1974, and a Ph.D. in Economics from Lehigh University in 1992. He is a member of the Advisory Committee to the U.S. Census Bureau. He serves as a director on the boards of the APCI Federal Credit Union and the nonprofit Parkette National Gymnastics Center. His other professional associations include the Conference of Business Economists, the National Business Economic Issues Council, and the American Economics Association.

dunkelbergWilliam Dunkelberg
Professor of Economics
Temple University
Chief Economist
National Federation of Independent Business

William C. Dunkelberg is professor of economics at the School of Business and Management, Temple University, and chief economist of the National Federation of Independent Business. He is a nationally known authority on small business, entrepreneurship, consumer behavior and consumer credit, and government policy. Previously he was with Purdue, Stanford, and the University of Michigan. He is a fellow and past president of the National Association for Business Economics. He has a BA, MA, and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Michigan.

kliesenKevin Kliesen
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

 

 

 

 

waggonerDaniel Waggoner
Economist and Assistant Policy Adviser
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Daniel Waggoner is a research economist and assistant policy adviser with the financial section of the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. His interests include the term structure of interest rates, Bayesian econometrics, and mathematical modeling.

Before joining the Fed, he was an assistant professor of mathematics at Agnes Scott College and, prior to that, a visiting assistant professor at Lehigh University. Dr. Waggoner’s work has been published in a number of journals including Transactions of the American Mathematical Society and The Review of Economics and Statistics.

Dr. Waggoner earned his bachelor’s in mathematics from the University of Mississippi. He earned a master’s degree and a doctorate in mathematics from the University of Kentucky. He also holds a master’s degree in finance from Georgia State University.

 

 

 

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