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2002 Annual Meeting Speakers |
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Richard Berner is a Principal in Morgan Stanley's Equity Research Department, and has responsibility for U.S. economic and financial research activities. A native of Boston, Massachusetts, Mr. Berner received a bachelor of arts degree in economics from Harvard College, and a doctorate in economics from the University of Pennsylvania. He conducted dissertation research under SSRC-Ford Foundation grants at both the University of Louvain, Belgium, and at the University of Bologna, Italy. Prior to joining Morgan Stanley, Mr. Berner was Executive Vice President and Chief Economist at Mellon Bank Corporation, and a member of Mellon Bank's Senior Management Committee. Previously, he served as a Principal and Senior Economist for Morgan Stanley and a Director and Senior Economist for Salomon Brothers. He has also served as Economist for Morgan Guaranty Trust Company, Director of the Washington, DC office of Wharton Econometrics and Economist for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He has been an adjunct professor of economics at Carnegie-Mellon University and at George Washington University. Mr. Berner is also a member of the Board of the National Association
for Business Economics and a member of the Board of Advisors of Macroeconomic
Advisers, LLC. He has been a member of the Economic Advisory Committee
of the American Bankers Association, Chairman of the Economic Advisory
Board of the Pennsylvania Bankers Association, a member of the Board
of Directors and past President of the Economic Club of Pittsburgh,
a member of the Advisory Board of the Center for Economic Development
at Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz School, a member of the Board
of Trustees of Sewickley Academy, and a member of the Finance Advisory
Committee of the Quaker Valley School District. He has also served as
a member of the Pennsylvania Legislative Joint Task Force on Exports.
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David Blitzer David Blitzer is the Chairman of the S&P 500 Index Committee and a member of Standard & Poor's Investment Policy Committee and the Standard & Poor's Economic Forecast Council. He writes Trends and Projections, a monthly review of the U.S. economy and is also a regular contributor to MarketScope and other Standard & Poor's services. Before joining Standard & Poor's, Dr. Blitzer was Corporate Economist at The McGraw-Hill Companies, S&P's parent corporation. Prior to that he was a Senior Economic Analyst with National Economic Research Associates, Inc. and did consulting work for various government and private sector agencies including the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, the National Commission on Materials Policy, and Natural Resources Defense Council. Dr. Blitzer is the author of Outpacing the Pros: Using Indices to Beat wall Street's Savviest Money Managers, (McGraw-Hill, 2001) and What's the Economy Trying to Tell You? Everyone's Guide to Understanding and Profiting from the Economy, (McGraw-Hill, 1997). Dr. Blitzer is often quoted in the national business press, including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, USA Today, and various financial and industry publications. He is frequently heard on local and national television and radio. A graduate of Cornell University with a B.S. in Engineering, Dr. Blitzer
received his M.A. in Economics from the George Washington University
and his Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University. |
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Matthew H. Brown is the director of the National Conference of State Legislatures' Energy Project. He is responsible for advising state legislators on such issues as electric industry regulation, renewable energy, state energy planning, energy efficiency and alternative fuel vehicles. Mr. Brown has an extensive background in numerous areas of energy policy, and specializes in consulting services to state legislatures. Mr. Brown has authored or co-authored numerous publications on electric industry issues, including an analysis of California's recent electricity crisis, analysis of federal and state jurisdiction over the electric power industry, and numerous other related analyses. He has testified before more than 30 state legislative bodies on electric industry issues, and worked closely with many state legislatures on their own electricity policies. He has most recently completed projects with the states of Rhode Island and California on electric industry regulation and power plant siting issues. He currently leads an effort to assist the state of Montana deal with a number of electric industry regulatory issues. He also works extensively with other energy policy organizations general energy audiences on these and other energy-related issues. Before joining the National Conference of State Legislatures, Mr. Brown was the Director of Special Projects for the City of New York Department of Telecommunications and Energy. In this capacity he worked closely with the State Energy Office and Public Service Commission on a variety of electricity and other issues. Mr. Brown holds a BA from Brown University in Providence, Rhode Island
and an MBA from New York University.
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Brian M. Campbell Dr. Brian M. Campbell is founder and President of the Campbell-Hill
Aviation Group, Inc. He has concentrated his thirty-four year career
in the economic elements of commercial air transportation. His firm
performs traffic and revenue forecasting, fleet planning, economic modeling,
financial analysis, regulatory impact evaluations, and air service marketing
studies. Dr. Campbell frequently advises government, airline, and airport
parties involved in international bilateral negotiations. He has testified
in approximately 75 hearings related to aviation matters. He earned
a Bachelor of Commerce degree from McGill University, an M.B.A. from
the University of Western Ontario, and a Ph.D. in Business Administration
from Columbia University. |
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Richard Clarida On February 7, 2002, Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill swore-in Richard H. Clarida as Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy. The U.S. Senate confirmed Clarida on January 25, 2002. President George W. Bush nominated Richard Clarida on October 31, 2001. As Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy, Clarida is the senior advisor to the Treasury Secretary and the Deputy Secretary on all aspects of economic policy. His office is responsible for reporting on current and prospective economic developments and assisting in the determination of appropriate economic policies. His office is also responsible for the review and analysis of both domestic and international economic issues and developments in the financial markets. Prior to joining the Treasury Department, Clarida was Chairman of the Department of Economics at Columbia University, and has been a Professor at Columbia since 1988. From 1983 to 1988 he served as an assistant professor of economics at Yale University. In 1987, 1988 and 1989, he was a consultant to President Reagan's Council of Economic Advisors, and was a Senior Staff Economist at the CEA from 1986 to 1987. Clarida was a visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund in 1992 and 1993, and then again from 1995 to 1997. He was a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Board in 1992, 1994 and 1997. Clarida is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Clarida earned his Master's and Ph. D. in Economics from Harvard in 1983. He earned a B.S. in Economics with Highest Honors from the University of Illinois at Urbana in 1979. He is married, has two children and resides in Southport, CT.
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Dan Crippen Dan L. Crippen is the fifth director of the Congressional Budget Office. Mr. Crippen, who was appointed in February 1999, has served in a senior positions in the White House and the U.S. Senate and is a specialist in issues relating to the federal budget, health care, retirement, trade, and telecommunications. From 1987 to 1989, he served as the President=s advisor on all issues relating to domestic policy, including the preparation and presentation of the federal budget. In the Senate, he served as chief counsel and economic policy adviser to the Senate Majority Leader from 1981 to 1985, working on major tax and budget bills as well as other legislation. Mr. Crippen also has substantial experience in the private sector.
Before joining CBO, he was a principal with Washington Counsel, a consulting
firm. He has also served as executive director of the Merrill Lynch
International Advisory Council and as senior vice president of the Duberstein
Group. Mr. Crippen has a Ph.D. in public finance. |
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Robert J. Cuomo is with DRI-WEFA's General Consulting Group, with business development and project management responsibility for many of DRI-WEFA's major clients. He has expertise in applied econometrics and forecasting dealing with large economic and demographic databases. Past work has included developing detailed end-use forecasts for electric residential, commercial and industrial customers. Dr. Cuomo has extensive experience in providing testimony on electric utility forecasts before the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities. Dr. Cuomo's primary responsibilities include maintaining existing client accounts as well as identifying additional client needs and addressing them through the development, implementation and management of appropriate projects. He assists in the development, documentation and presentation of DRI-WEFA's Macro and Regional forecasts. Dr. Cuomo has supervised several economic impact studies including an assessment of the economic impact of the construction of an Alaskan Natural Gas Pipeline on the lower 48 states. He manages large complex projects that require the integration of related intricate tasks. His commentary on the economy and energy issues has been sought by the media including the Wall Street Journal, The Boston Globe, The Boston Herald, Christian Science Monitor, the Washington Times and New England Cable News. Prior to joining DRI-WEFA, Dr. Cuomo was Chief Economist at NSTAR/Boston
Edison. In his most recent position, he was General Manager of Boston
Edison's Residential Energy Efficiency Programs. Responsibilities included
developing energy efficiency programs and administering a $22 million
budget. Prior to that, Dr. Cuomo was Manager of Boston Edison's Forecasting
and Market Analysis Division. In this capacity, he was responsible for
the development of the Company's short and long-term forecasts of energy
sales, revenues and peak demand. He was heavily involved in financial
and strategic planning, and was a key player in the area of risk management.
His division also developed station load forecasts for substation planning
to assure system reliability. He has a B.A. from Merrimack College, and an M.A. and Ph.D. from Boston College.
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Richard T. Curtin Richard T. Curtin has been the Director of the Surveys of Consumers at the Survey Research Center, The University of Michigan, since 1976. The results from the surveys are widely used by businesses and financial institutions, by federal agencies responsible for monetary and fiscal policies, as well as by academic researchers. Data from the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers is an official component of the Index of Leading Indicators, designed by the U.S. Department of Commerce and published by the Conference Board. This represents a significant, independent confirmation of the usefulness of the surveys for understanding and forecasting changes in the national economy. Through frequent presentations and published articles, Dr. Curtin
has reported on his research in behavioral economics, including consumer
saving and spending behavior, household income and wealth, reactions
to changing economic opportunities, and public policy preferences. He
is a member of the American Economic Association, the Association for
Consumer Research, and the International Association for Research in
Economic Psychology. Dr. Curtin received his Ph.D. in economics from
the University of Michigan in 1975. |
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Jim Deegan Dr. Deegan has a business background having served 14 years on the corporate staff of a multi-billion dollar NYSE energy company and six years as V-P of Industry Risk Analysis for the county's second largest commercial bank. He was also Chief Economist for the Louisiana Public Service Commission and has worked as an independent consultant with a client list that includes major corporations and law firms. His Ph.D. degree in economics is from Southern Methodist University with concentrations in industrial organization and econometrics. His prize-winning paper "Age Cohort Analysis and the S&P500
Dividend Yield - the Pig in the Python in a Bear Market" stems
from a long-standing interest in the effect of age demographic factors
on capital markets. This interest dates from his graduate school days
when he was fortunate to have had Franco Modigliani as a visiting professor.
Interest specifically in S&P 500 dividend yields dates from a 1982
assignment to advise as to the appropriate allocation mix for the corporate
pension fund of a NYSE-listed corporation. Motivation for the recent
research paper was to assist in managing personal assets. |
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William L. Goffe William L. Goffe is an associate professor at the State University
of New York at Oswego. His research interest is in computational economics,
and he serves as the Secretary-Treasurer of the Society for Computational
Economics and an Associate Editor of "Computational Economics"
and on the editorial board of "Netnomics." He is an assistant
editor of the Journal of Economic Literature, and is in charge of "Resources
for Economists on the Internet" <rfe.org>. He has made numerous
talks on how economists can use the Internet (often in conjunction with
Bob Parks and George Greenwade). His publications have appeared in the
Journal of Economic |
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Robert J. Gordon Robert J. Gordon is Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences
and He is one of the nation's leading experts on the causes and consequences
of For more than 25 years he has been a Research Associate of the National He is also an affiliate of the Northwestern Transportation Center,
an expert |
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Edgard H. Habib is chief economist for ChevronTexaco Corp. A native of Lebanon, Habib graduated from the University of San Francisco, Calif., with a bachelor's degree in political science and international finance in 1975. He then went on to earn an MPA in development economics and public finance; a doctorate in economics from The American University, based in Washington, D.C. In 1988, Habib joined Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates (WEFA), in Washington, D.C., as vice president, Middle and Africa, responsible for directing research on country risk assessments for many major international clients. In this capacity, he performed numerous consulting projects and delivered client briefings worldwide. He was later named senior vice president and managing director, for WEFA's Washington operations, overseeing activities in Eurasia, Asia/Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Habib established and maintained extensive client relations globally and developed corporate strategy for initiation and development of business opportunities for those clients. In early 1997, Habib became a senior advisor for Mitsubishi Corp., based in Tokyo, on global petroleum markets and country risk assessment. He advised management on energy security and country risk issues to aid in developing long-term business growth opportunities for the company. In August 1997, he joined the International Energy Agency (IEA) of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), based in Paris, as manager of their Middle East and Africa affairs. He advised industry and government representatives on world economy, country risk and oil security. He was spokesperson for OECD/IEA at many worldwide conferences, and was instrumental in developing institutional links for them in the Middle East, North Africa and Asia. Habib joined Chevron as chief economist in October 2000, a position he maintained upon the formation of ChevronTexaco Corp., Oct. 9, 2001. He is a member of the American Economic Assoc., and the National Association
for Business Economics.
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Robert E. Hall Robert E. Hall holds a joint position endowed by Robert and Carole McNeil as senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor in the economics department, Stanford University. Hall is an applied economist with interests in technology, competition, employment issues, and economic policy. He is a frequent contributor to discussions of national economic policy, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, and competition policy. Hall's research focuses on levels of activity and stock-market valuations in market economies and on the economics of high technology, particularly the Internet. His most recent book, Digital Dealing: How e-Markets Are Transforming the Economy, was published by W. W. Norton in 2001. Along with Hoover colleague Alvin Rabushka, Hall is an active proponent of the flat tax. Their article in the Wall Street Journal in December 1981 was the starting point for an upsurge of interest in the flat tax. This led to their book, The Flat Tax (Hoover Institution Press, 1985 and 1995). The pair were recognized in Money magazine's Money Hall of Fame (1992) for their contributions to financial innovation over the past twenty years. Hall is coauthor, with Marc Lieberman, of Economics: Principles and Applications, 2d edition (South-Western, 2000). Hall also serves as director of the research program on economic fluctuations and growth of the National Bureau of Economic Research, an interuniversity research organization. He is chairman of the Bureau's Committee on Business Cycle Dating, which maintains the semiofficial chronology of the U.S. business cycle. Hall has advised a number of government agencies on national economic policy, including the Justice Department, the Treasury Department, and the Federal Reserve Board. He served on President-elect Ronald Reagan's Task Force on Inflation Policy and was a member of the National Presidential Advisory Committee on Productivity. He has testified on numerous occasions before congressional committees concerning national economic policy. Hall presented the Ely Lecture to the American Economic Association in 2001. Hall is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and of the Econometric Society. Before coming to Stanford in 1978, Hall was a professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and an assistant professor at the University of California at Berkeley. Born in Palo Alto, California, in 1943, he attended school in Palo Alto and Los Angeles, received his B.A. from the University of California at Berkeley in 1964 and his Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1967. Hall is married to economist Susan Woodward and lives in Menlo Park,
California. |
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John C. Haltiwanger John C. Haltiwanger, Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland, received his Ph.D. in economics from the Johns Hopkins University in 1981. After serving on the faculty at UCLA and Johns Hopkins, he joined the faculty at Maryland in 1987. He has recently completed a term as Chief Economist of the U.S. Bureau of the Census. He has published more than 50 articles in leading economics journals and publications including recent articles in the American Economic Review, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual, the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, and the Economic Journal. He is a research associate of the Center for Economic Studies at the Bureau of the Census and of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His current research exploits the recently created longitudinal databases on firms and workers that are available at the Bureau of the Census. This research focuses on the process of job creation, job destruction, restructuring, and lumpy investment activity at the plant level, the changing demand for skills across businesses and the connection to aggregate fluctuations in employment, investment and productivity. His book Job Creation and Destruction (MIT Press, 1996 -- coauthored
with Steven Davis and Scott Schuh) presents a comprehensive analysis
of job creation and destruction in the U.S. manufacturing sector over
the last two decades. His research and commentary on these issues has
been cited numerous times in leading newspapers and magazines including
Business Week, The Economist, Fortune, The New York Times, U.S. News
and World Report and the Wall Street Journal. |
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Jan Hatzius Jan Hatzius, Vice President and Senior Economist, is based in the New York office, where he advises clients on the US economic and financial market outlook and contributes to the US economic research publications. He developed the firm's global bond model, GSWIRE, and (together with Bill Dudley) the Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index. Other recent research has focused on the boom/bust cycle in US business investment and the saving-investment imbalances in the US economy. He is frequently quoted in the financial press and writes a regular column on the US economy for the German business daily, Handelsblatt. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs, Jan was a research fellow at the London
School of Economics. Jan holds an economics doctorate from Oxford University,
as well as degrees from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the
Kiel Institute of World Economics. |
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Thomas J. Hickey Since 2000 Thomas J. Hickey has been the Product Research Manager for
TransUnion's new TrenData product, a large collection of consumer borrower
characteristics extracted from TransUnion's consumer credit files, for
which he constructs econometric forecasting models for client financial
institutions. From 1988 until his accession by TransUnion he was an
independent consultant performing econometric market analyses for clients
in the consumer package goods industries including Kraft Foods, and
was also employed as a Manager of Econometric Modeling for Brown and
Williamson Company and a Senior Marketing Systems Analyst for Quaker
Oats Company. From 1982 to the gubernatorial election of 1988 he was
Senior Economist and Research Director for the Commerce Department of
the State of Indiana, where he constructed macroeconomic and regional
econometric models for economic development analyses. He entered the
labor force in 1973 when he accepted a position as a cost and profit
analyst for United States Steel Corporation, where he constructed a
quarterly U.S. macroeconometric model, steel industry models, company
steel shipments forecasting models and corporate financial models. He
graduated with Masters Degrees in Economics and in Philosophy of Science
from the University of Notre Dame, South Bend, Indiana after serving
as a commissioned finance officer in the U.S. Navy. His undergraduate
majors were in economics and business management. |
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Andreas Hornstein Andreas Hornstein is a Research Officer at theFederal Reserve Bank of Richmond. While at the Richmond Fed, he has also served as an Economist and as an Associate Research Officer. He has also been a Visiting Lecturer at the Department of Economics at the University of Virginia; a Visitor at the University of Minnesota and Institue of Empirical Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis; an Assistant Professor, Department of Economics at the University of Western Ontario. He has a Diplom in Economics, Universitat Konstänz, Germany, and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Minnesota. |
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Michael W. Horrigan Michael W. Horrigan is the Assistant Commissioner in the Office of Ocupational Statistics and Employment Projections in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. He has been at the BLS for sixteen years, where he has been the Director of the BLS/OEUS/ National Longitudinal Surveys, the Chief of the BLS/Office of Publications and Special Studies (OPUBSS)/ Division of Special Studies, and a Research Economist in the Division of Labor Force Statistics. He has also been a Senior Labor Economist at the President's Council of Economic Advisers. He has also served as Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University, School of Public Policy, 1990-2002; a member of the Workforce Information Council Chair, Occupational Employment Survey Policy Council; and member of the Oversight Committee on the BLS American Time Use Survey. He has an B.A. in Mathematics from the College of the Holy Cross, and
a Ph.D. in Economics from Purdue University. |
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Gene Huang Gene Huang is the Chief Economist of FedEx Corporation. He is responsible
for forecasting global economic and financial conditions and monitoring
the industries that FedEx serves. Before joining FedEx, he was employed
by Eaton Corporation and General Motors in the corporate finance and
planning functions respectively. Gene started his corporate career with
a Wall Street money management firm in 1987. He holds a B.LL. from Fudan
(Shanghai), a M.A. from Yale and a Ph.D. from the University of Pennsylvania.
He is the author of two books in financial economics and many articles
published in the U.S., Japanese, and European economic and policy journals.
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R. Glenn Hubbard is Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors. Before
this, he Hubbard’s research interests span public economics, macroeconomics,
corporate finance, and industrial organization. A prolific author, Hubbard
has authored a textbook on financial markets and institutions, edited
volumes on financial economics and international tax policy, and written
more than 90 |
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Peter B. Jaquette is Manager, Economic Analysis at Weyerhaeuser Company. His primary responsibilities at Weyerhaeuser include market analysis of the containerboard, packaging and paper recycling industries, and assessing economic trends and developments in the global economy and relating how they impact the pulp and paper markets served by Weyerhaeuser Company. Before joining Weyerhaeuser, Mr. Jaquette was Senior Vice President, Global Services at WEFA (an economic forecasting and consulting company). At WEFA his responsibilities included directing the forecasting and analysis of the economies of the U.S. and other developed countries. He was the author of the WEFA forecast for the U.S. economy and frequently spoke on the outlook for the economy at conferences and meetings. Before joining WEFA, Mr. Jaquette was Director, Economic Analysis at Atlantic Richfield Company. Mr. Jaquette served on the Board of Directors of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), and is past president of the NABE Los Angeles Chapter. He is also a member of the National Business Economic Issues Council. Mr. Jaquette received his B.A. degree in economics from Swarthmore
College (honors) in 1974, and his M.A. in economics from Stanford University
in 1976. |
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James Jensen Mr. Jensen is President of Jensen Associates, a consulting firm in Weston, Massachusetts specializing in energy economics. He has a BS in chemical engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and an MBA from Harvard Business School. For eighteen years prior to his establishment of Jensen Associates, Mr. Jensen was a Senior Staff Member of Arthur D. Little, Inc. He is recognized for his expertise in energy economics, where he focusses on international natural gas supply, demand, pricing, regulation and trade. He has written extensively on natural gas and testified on natural gas issues before U.S. Senate and House Congressional Committees, as well as various regulatory agencies. International gas trade is one of Mr. Jensen's specialties. He has studied LNG prospects for projects involving Algeria, Indonesia, Nigeria, Norway, Qatar, and Trinidad, and was very active in evaluating various pipeline projects between Canada and the U.S. He has recently completed a project for the Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre on the comparative economics of LNG and pipeline supply to China, Japan and Korea. He has also been active in assessing the role of natural gas in electric power generation. He was in charge of a series of studies for the Electric Power Research Institute on the problems associated with greater natural gas use by the U.S. electric industry. Mr. Jensen has been a regular visiting faculty member of the Oxford Energy Seminar at St. Catherine's College, Oxford and and lectures frequently at international conferences and seminars. He is a member of the Board of Directors of the Babson Stewart Ivory International Fund and a past President of the Boston Economic Club. He is also a member of the International Association of Energy Economists, the National Association of Petroleum Investment Analysts, the Oxford Energy Policy Club, and the Society of Petroleum Engineers. |
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Satish Jindel Satish Jindel has over 17 years experience in the transportation industry. After leaving RPS in 1992, he founded SJ Consulting Group, Inc., He has earned three masters’ degrees from
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Van E. Jolissaint Van E. Jolissaint was appointed Corporate Economist for DaimlerChrysler |
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Kurt E. Karl As head of Swiss Re's Economic Research and Consulting, North America, Kurt E. Karl has responsibility for supervising the New York office's work on Swiss Re's "sigma" papers - the internationally renowned research series on the insurance industry. In addition, he supports Swiss Re's strategic planning and internal consulting on new products. Finally, he provides insights and forecasts on the U.S. economy to Swiss Re for use in a variety of corporate decisions. He is an expert on the U.S. and global economies with extensive experience and knowledge of foreign markets and has lived and worked in Europe, Africa and Asia. Prior to joining Swiss Re, Dr. Karl was chief international economist
at WEFA, Inc., an economic forecasting firm located near Philadelphia.
At WEFA, he was responsible for managing Global Services, the combined
forecasting operations of the International, U.S. and U.S. Regional
business units. Before becoming head of Global Services, Dr. Karl was
the chief economist on the U.S. Forecasting Service. Prior to the merger
of Wharton and Chase Econometrics, Dr. Karl was the Director of the
U.S. Long-Term Forecasting Service at Wharton Econometrics. He has extensive
model building experience for the U.S. economy and for many other economies
in the world. He has worked overseas in the United Kingdom, Southern
Africa - Swaziland and Mozambique - and Thailand, as an economist and
statistician. He has a B.A. from the University of Oregon, a M.Sc. from
the London School of Economics and a Ph.D. from Princeton University.
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Ralph G. Kauffman Ralph G. Kauffman is Associate Professor of Management and Coordinator of the Purchasing and Supply Management Program at the University of Houston-Downtown, Houston, Texas. Prior to entering academia he had over 27 years of purchasing and supply management experience with Oryx Energy Company, Sunoco, and Monsanto, including Manager, Procurement and Materials Management for Oryx. Currently Kauffman is Chair of the Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) and prepares the monthly Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®. From May 1994 to December 1996, he was Chair of the Manufacturing ISM Business Survey Committee. He is also a past member of the ISM Educational Resources Committee and a past Director of NAPM-Houston. Kauffman has published articles in management journals including the Academy of Management Journal, The Journal of Supply Chain Management, and The Journal of Business and Industrial Marketing He is also co-editor of the 6th edition of The Purchasing Handbook and has presented papers at national and international academic and professional conferences including the Annual International Supply Management Conference. In 2002 he was the recipient of the most distinguished award that ISM presents, the J. Shipman Gold Medal. Kauffman received a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering from
Lehigh University and an MBA degree from the Kellogg School of Northwestern
University. He received his Ph.D. in management science from the University
of Texas at Dallas. He is a member of NAPM-Houston, The American Marketing
Association, The Institute for Operations Research and the Management
Sciences (INFORMS), and the Southeast Texas Association of Public Purchasing. |
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Hans-Helmut Kotz Hans-Helmut Kotz is a Member of the Governing Board of the Deutsche Bundesbank being in charge of IT and capital markets. Between May 1999 and April 2002 he has been President of the Landeszentralbank in der Freien Hansestadt Bremen, in Niedersachsen und Sachsen-Anhalt and a Member of the Deutsche Bundesbank's Central Bank Council. Before that he worked for more than a decade and a half as Chief Economist with Deutsche Girozentrale, Frankfurt. He holds a Visiting-Professorship at the European Institute of Public Administration in Maastricht and teaches Finance and Monetary Economics at Freiburg University. Moreover, he is a Board Member of the "Konstanz Seminar on Monetary Theory" as well as a member of the Program Council of the "Weiterbildungs-GmbH" of the Center for Financial Studies, Frankfurt, a permanent working group of the German Society for International Politics, Berlin, and a working group of the Institute for European Politics, Berlin. He contributed as well for three years to a Groupe de Réflexion of the Deutsch-Französisches Institut, Ludwigsburg and the Commissariat Général du Plan, Paris. He lectured at a number of German and international universities on questions of applied macroeconomics as well as international financial markets. He was invited to testify in hearings of the Deutsche Bundestag, the French Assemblée Nationale as well as the European Parliament. He contributed as author as well as editor to a number of books, was
a referee amongst others for "Kredit und Kapital", the "Journal
of European Integration", "Schmollers Jahrbuch - Journal for
Applied Social Sciences Studies", the "National Endowment
for the Humanities", Washington, and published e.g. in the "Revue
d'Economie Financière", "Kredit und Kapital",
"Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft", "Wirtschaftsdienst"
and "Intereconomics". He writes a column for the French weekly
"Option Finance" and has written numerous articles for newspapers
(e.g. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Frankfurter Rundschau, Süddeutsche
Zeitung, Handelsblatt, Börsen-Zeitung, Die Zeit, Die Woche, Le
Monde, Libération, Wall Street Journal etc.). |
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Bruce Kratofil Bruce Kratofil of BJK Research LLC specializes in web site development in economics and finance, as well as writing in the fields of computers and software. He is the Editor and Webmaster for the National Association for Business Economics, and Editor-in-Chief of BugNet, the world's leading supplier of software bug fixes. He is the co-author of two books, The Windows 95 Bug Book, and Windows 2000 Secrets, and his computer help and how-to articles have appeared in BugNet, C Net, MSNBC, ZD Net, InfoWorld and Network Magazine. He is also the Chair of the NABE Technology Roundtable. Previously, he has taught Economics, Corporate Finance, and Money and
Banking at the Weatherhead School of Management at Case Western Reserve
University, at John Carroll University, and Cleveland State University.
He holds bachelors and Masters degrees in Economics from Case Western
Reserve University. |
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Owen Lamont Owen Lamont is an Associate Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business, and a Faculty Research Fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He teaches a course in Portfolio Management. He has been an Associate Economist (working for Dr. Allen Sinai) at the Boston Company Economic Advisors, and an Assistant Professor of Economics at Princeton University. Since 1995 he has taught finance at the University of Chicago, and currently teaches a course on portfolio management. His research is in asset pricing and corporate finance, and has published
academic papers on stock returns, bond returns, closed-end funds, and
corporate diversification. He has presented research at many universities,
practitioner groups, and government institutions around the world. Professor Lamont obtained a B.A. in Economics and Government (with
honors) at Oberlin College in 1988, and a Ph.D. in Economics from the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1994.
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Dean Maki Dean Maki is Vice President and Economist at Putnam Investments in Boston, where he focuses on analyzing and forecasting the U.S. economy. Before joining Putnam, Dean was a Senior Economist at the Federal Reserve Board in Washington, DC. His research has focused on various topics related to household finances, including the impact of financial variables-such as stock market wealth, household debt burdens, and mortgage refinancing-on consumer spending. He has also researched various topics related to consumer credit, consumer bankruptcy law, and financial education. Dean's research has been published in multiple journals, including
the American Economic Review, the Journal of Public Economics, the Federal
Reserve Bulletin, and the National Tax Journal. He has contributed chapters
to several books, and presented his work at meetings of the American
Economic Association, the Brookings Institution, the World Bank, and
the National Bureau of Economic Research. He has also served as a member
of the Advisory Council and Research Committee of the Credit Research
Center. Dean received his Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University.
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Rosemary Marcuss Rosemary Marcuss is Deputy Director of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the federal government's national economic accounting agency. BEA produces the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) accounts, the U.S. Balance of Payments accounts, U.S. input-output accounts, and other national, state, and international-transactions data accounts. Dr. Marcuss focuses on the Survey of Current Business, BEA's monthly journal; development of BEA's web site; and investment in BEA's data-processing and producing capabilities. Before joining BEA in 1998, Dr. Marcuss served for fifteen years as
the Assistant Director for Tax Analysis of the Congressional Budget
Office (CBO), where she oversaw federal-budget revenue estimation and
tax-policy analysis. She started in Washington as a junior member of
the staff of the President's Council of Economic Advisers and, after
that, spent several years as an economist and managing consultant at
Data Resources, Inc. She holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University
of Maryland. |
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Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Bob McTeer became president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas in February 1991. Bob grew up in rural Georgia and received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Georgia. He served on the Georgia faculty for two years before joining the Richmond Fed in 1968 as an economist. He took on management responsibilities in the early 1970s and served as an assistant to the bank’s president. After spending the 1970s at the Richmond Fed, Bob became manager of its Baltimore Branch in 1980, where he remained until coming to Texas in 1991. Bob was an adjunct professor at the University of Richmond and Virginia Commonwealth University during the 1970s and Johns Hopkins University in the 1980s. He also served on the faculty of several state and regional banking schools. Since coming to Texas, Bob has been a prolific writer and has maintained a heavy speaking schedule. You may find selected articles, speeches and even some poetry on the Dallas Fed’s web site at www.dallasfed.org. Bob is a strong advocate for free enterprise, and under his leadership, the Dallas Fed has become known as the "free enterprise Fed" and, more recently, the "New Economy Fed." Active in economic education, personally and through the Bank, he is a member of the board of directors of the National Council on Economic Education and is a past president of the Association of Private Enterprise Education. As president of the Dallas Fed, he is a member of the Federal Open
Market Committee, the Fed’s principal monetary policymaking body.
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James P. Meil James P. Meil is Chief Economist with Eaton Corporation, a global $7.3 billion dollar industrial manufacturer of highly-engineered products serving the vehicle, industrial, construction, commercial, off-highway equipment and aerospace markets. Mr. Meil has been recognized as a leading industrial sector economist for over a decade. At Eaton Corporation, Mr. Meil is responsible for domestic and international forecasts of economic conditions and for the markets Eaton serves in automotive, medium and heavy truck, off-highway and industrial equipment, residential and non-residential construction, and aerospace. He writes regularly for the Conference Board publications Economic Times and International Economic Scoreboard, and is a contributor to the Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Consensus Economics, USA Today and The Wall Street Journal economic surveys; the Conference Board's "Forecasters' Forecast" and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's "Survey of Professional Forecasters." Mr. Meil has been recognized for contributing the "Best Overall Economic Forecast," the "Best Car and Light Truck Forecast" and the "Best Inflation Forecast" at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Annual Economic Outlook Symposium. Mr. Meil is a member of the American Economic Association, the American Finance Association, the Automotive Market Research Council, the Conference of Business Economists, and the National Association of Business Economists. Before joining Eaton Corporation in 1985, Mr. Meil was District Manager for Chase Econometrics Chicago/Midwest operations. Prior to Chase, he held positions in economic analysis and market research with Burroughs Corporation (now Unisys). Mr. Meil holds an M.B.A. in finance and a B.A. (honors) in economics
from the University of Chicago. |
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Patrick Newport Patrick Newport's main role at DRI-WEFA's is to manage its U.S. Patrick joined DRI-WEFA in July 1998. Prior to joining DRI, he worked
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Dr. O'Neill was appointed to his current position in October 1994. He joined the Bank of Montreal in 1993 as Senior Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. Prior to joining the Bank he held the position of President of the Atlantic Provinces Economic Council from 1988 to 1993. For 12 years before that he taught in the Department of Economics at St. Mary's University in Halifax. He served as a consultant to several provincial governments, as well as to the Canadian federal government. Dr. O'Neill is a native of Sydney, Nova Scotia. He received his B.A. degree (with Honours) at St. Francis Xavier University, his M.A. at the University of British Columbia, and his Ph.D. at Duke University, North Carolina. His academic awards include the Mackenzie King Scholarship and the Donner Fellowship. In his teaching, research and consulting activities, Dr. O'Neill focused extensively on the structure and performance of the North American economy. Areas covered in his publications and public presentations have ranged from macroeconomic forecasts and assessment of key sectors of the economy, to examination of broader themes such as the employment effects of technological change, and the economic impact of illiteracy. Dr. O'Neill is currently a Director of the Canadian Foundation for Economic Education and the ABC CANADA Literacy Foundation and is a member of the National Statistics Council. Dr. O’Neill is the first Canadian, non-U.S. based economist to
be elected to the Board of Governors of the Washington-based National
Association for Business Economists (NABE). |
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Harvey Rosenblum is senior vice president and director of research of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. In this capacity, he serves as economic policy advisor to the Bank's president and as an associate economist for the Federal Open Market Committee, which formulates the nation's monetary policy. A widely recognized expert on both the national and Texas economies, Rosenblum has written articles for such publications as the Journal of Finance, New York Times, Southwest Economy and The Handbook of Banking Strategy. He also is a visiting professor of finance and economics at Southern Methodist University, teaching courses in commercial bank management, contemporary issues in monetary policy and macroeconomics. He taught at the University of Oregon as visiting professor of finance for the 1977–78 academic year. Additionally, he serves as the chairman of the Business Executives Advisory Council to the Department of Economics, Dedman College, Southern Methodist University. Rosenblum received a B.A. in economics from the University of Connecticut in 1965 and an M.A. and Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, Santa Barbara, in 1970 and 1972, respectively. He began his career with the Federal Reserve in 1970 as an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, advancing to assistant vice president (1976), vice president and economic advisor (1979) and vice president and associate director of research (1983). He was also a visiting professor of finance with DePaul University from 1973 until 1985, when he was appointed senior vice president and director of research at the Dallas Fed. Rosenblum's current research interests center on banking structure
and regulation, electronic money and U.S. saving rates. |
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Sheila Smith Sheila Smith is a Senior Economist with the Office of the Actuary at the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). She holds primary responsibility for model development for CMS' econometric model of the health sector (the NHE Projections Model) , and plays a key role in the forecasting process associated with CMS annual ten-year projections of national health expenditures (NHE). Before joining CMS, Ms. Smith was the director of the Health Cost Information Service at Standard and Poors' DRI, where she managed all forecasting and model development activities for concepts relating to health care costs and medical inflation rates. In this position she also held primary editorial responsibility for the Health Care Cost Review (a quarterly publication) and conducted and published research on a range of health related topics. Ms. Smith holds a B.A. in economics from Wellesley College, and an
M.A. in economics from the University of Virginia. |
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A native of Buffalo, New York, Mr. Swift is a graduate of Ashland College (Ashland, Ohio) with a BA degree and a graduate of Case Western Reserve University (Cleveland, Ohio) with a MA degree in Economics. He has also completed the Tax Analysis and Revenue Forecasting Program and other studies at Harvard University, as well as doctoral level studies in business administration at Anglia Polytechnic University. Mr. Swift is employed by the American Chemistry Council in Arlington, Virginia where he is responsible for economic and other analyses dealing with various business, trade, tax, energy, and related issues. He is also responsible for monitoring business conditions and industry structure, as well as data collection and dissemination of industry information to member companies, the media, and the public in general. Prior to joining the American Chemistry Council, Mr. Swift was Vice President, Research at The Freedonia Group (TFG), where he directed the company's business research, forecasting, and consulting efforts. Before joining TFG, he was Chief Economist and Director, Research Services at Predicasts, a leading business information/database company. In this capacity, he was responsible for the company's domestic and international business forecasting services and related on-line databases as well as the industry studies and market research business. Prior positions at Predicasts include Manager, International Studies and Research Analyst. Prior to Predicasts, Mr. Swift was employed by Dow Chemical USA where he was involved in cost engineering and planning. Mr. Swift is a member of the National Association for Business Economics
(NABE) and is a member of NABE's panel of 40 professional forecasters.
He is also a member of the Commercial Development and Marketing Association,
the Société de Chimie Industrielle, and the Association
of Christian Exonomists. Mr. Swift is also on the editorial advisory
board of Chemical Management Review. |
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John A. Tatom is Executive-in Residence in the Economics Department at DePaul University in Chicago. His primary responsibilities are teaching Macroeconomics, Money and Banking and International Finance, principally for the MBA program, and conducting research. He joined the University in Fall 2000. Formerly, Dr. Tatom held a variety of positions with UBS in Zurich, including chief US Economist in the Asset Allocation and Curreny group at UBS Asset Management in Chicago, Executive Director and Head of Country Research and Limit Control in Zurich, and chief economist for emerging market and developing countries in Zurich, where he advised the Bank on current political and economic developments, economic policy and risk in emerging and developing economies. He has published widely on international and domestic monetary and fiscal policy issues, especially inflation, capital formation, productivity and growth; the macroeconomics of supply, especially oil and energy price shocks; the relationship of exchange rate movements to international competitiveness, capital flows, trade, and international economic policy; and on financial innovations and their effects on monetary policy and the economy, among other areas. Dr. Tatom served as Assistant Vice President in the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, where he worked from 1976 to 1995. He has taught at several other colleges and universities, including in 1993-95 as professor of international economics in the International Affairs program at Washington University. He holds a PhD from Texas A&M University (1971), as well as a Master's degree from the University of Chicago and Bachelors degree from The University of Dallas. Dr. Tatom has been very active in professional organizations, including
serving as President of the St. Louis Gateway Chapter of the National
Association of Business Economists in 1991-92.
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John B. Taylor John B. Taylor was nominated for Under Secretary for International Affairs by President Bush on April 4, 2001, confirmed by the Senate on May 26, 2001, and sworn in by Secretary Paul O'Neill on June 1, 2001. As Under Secretary for International Affairs, Taylor serves as the principal advisor to the Secretary of the Treasury on international economic and financial issues. He leads the development and implementation of policies in the areas of international finance, trade and investment, economic development, international debt, and U.S. participation in the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank, the African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Taylor also helps to coordinate U.S. Treasury policy with the finance ministries of the G-7 industrial nations. Taylor's previous government experience includes serving as senior economist on the Council of Economic Advisers from 1976 to 1977; member of the Council of Economic Advisers from 1989 to 1991; and member of the California Governor's Council of Economic Advisers from 1996 to 1998. Taylor also served as a member of the Congressional Budget Office's Panel of Economic Advisers and was a delegate to the Uruguay Round of trade negotiations. Before becoming Under Secretary, Taylor was the Roberts Professor of Economics at Stanford University. He is a globally recognized expert on international monetary and financial issues and has produced extensive research on monetary policy, fiscal policy, and international economic policy. He regularly taught the introductory economics course for undergraduates-the most popular course at Stanford-as well as advanced Ph.D. courses. In 1992 he received the Hoagland Prize awarded annually to a faculty member for excellence in undergraduate teaching. In 1997 he was awarded the Rhodes Prize for his high teaching ratings in Stanford's introductory economics course. Before joining the Stanford faculty in 1984, he held positions as professor of economics at Princeton University and Columbia University. Taylor has also served as Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution;
Director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research; Director
of the Stanford Introductory Economics Center; and Research Associate
at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Born on December 8, 1946
in Yonkers, New York, Taylor received a B.A. in economics summa cum
laude from Princeton University in 1968 and a Ph.D. in economics from
Stanford University in 1973. He is married and has two children. |
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Shunichiro Ushijima Shunichiro Ushijima is Vice-president, Economic and Social Research
Institute, He has also been Director-General, Planning Bureau, EPA (Economic Planning
Agency); Economic Adviser to the Ministry of Economy of the Russian
Federation; Deputy Director-General, Price Bureau, EPA; Councilor, Permanent
delegation of the Japanese Government |
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Chris Varvares Chris Varvares is President of Macroeconomic Advisers, a company he co-founded with Joel Prakken and Laurence Meyer as Laurence H. Meyer & Associates in 1982. The firm became Macroeconomic Advisers in June of 1996 when Dr. Meyer joined the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Mr. Varvares has over 20 years of experience in macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis, both as a principal of Macroeconomic Advisers (1982 to present) and as a member of the staff of the President's Council of Economic Advisers (1981-1982). While at the Council, he served as a member of the U.S. delegation to the OECD in April 1982. Mr. Varvares is a member and former President of the St. Louis Chapter of the National Association of Business Economists and is a member of the American Economic Association. He serves as a member of Time Magazine's Board of Economists, and has been a panelist for the World Economic Forum. Mr. Varvares holds a B.A. in Economics from the George Washington University
and received his graduate training in economics from Washington University
in St. Louis. |
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Liz Webbink Liz Webbink is a consultant on information process and data visualization design to improve productivity and support decision making. Her previous experience includes 12 years with Exxon in various economic, financial, and internal consulting positions involving domestic and international forecasting, policy and project analysis, and process reengineering in the planning, cash management, and financial reporting areas. She has served on the business school faculties of Rice University,
Montclair State, and Rutgers University where she was also Associate
Dean for Academic Affairs for the Faculty of Professional Studies. |
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Carl Wheeldon Carl Wheeldon is a seasoned global leader with extensive experience as a driver in the strategic and business decision processes of big Pharma executive teams. He has been president of Bristol-Myers Squibb Technical Operations, a Vice President for Global Pharmaceutical Manufacturing for Warner-Lambert, and a Director and Vice President of Technical Services for SmithKline Beecham PLC. He has a B. Tech in Chemical Engineering from Loughborough University,
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Mark M. Zandi Dr. Zandi is Chief Economist and co-founder of Economy.com, Inc. Economy.com provides economic research and consulting services to corporations, governments and institutions. Economy.com also maintains one of the largest online databases of economic and financial time series. Economy.com operates a number of web sites, including The Dismal Scientist (www.dismal.com), Freelunch.com and Research@economy.com. Dr. Zandi directs Economy.com's research and consulting activities. His research interests include macroeconomic, financial, and regional economics. Dr. Zandi's recent areas of research include studying the determinants of personal and corporate bankruptcy, an assessment of the impact of changing equity values on federal and state government revenues, and an analysis of the development of house price bubbles. In addition to being regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, BusinessWeek, Fortune, and other leading publications, Dr. Zandi also appears on ABC News with Peter Jennings, Wall Street Week, CNN, and CNBC. Dr. Zandi received his Ph.D. from the University of Pennsylvania in
Economics, and his B.S. in economics from the Wharton School at the
University of Pennsylvania. Dr. Zandi's dissertation was conducted at
the University of Pennsylvania under the direction of professors Gerry
Adams and economics Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. |
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Victor Zarnowitz Victor Zarnowitz, one of the world’s leading scholars on business cycles,
indicators and forecast evaluation, is Senior Fellow and Economic Counselor
to The Conference Board. He is Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance,
Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago, and Research
Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). He has been
with NBER since 1952, and with several other government agencies. He
has lectured at major universities, including the universities of Munich,
Zurich, Columbia, Stanford and others. He was co-editor of the Journal
of Business, Economic Forecasts, and the ASA-NBER Quarterly Survey of
Economic Outlook. Dr. Zarnowitz earned his Ph.D. in economics (summa
cum laude) at the University of Heidelberg (Germany) in 1951. He is
Fellow of the National Association of Business Economists, Fellow of
the American Statistical Association, Honorary Fellow of the International
Institute of Forecasters, and Honorary Member of the Center for International
Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET). In 2001, he received
the William F. Butler Memorial Award from the New York Association for
Business Economics. His numerous papers and books include An Appraisal
of Short-Term Economic Forecasts (1967), The Business Cycle Today (1972),
Orders, Production, and Investment (1973), and Business Cycles: Theory,
History, Indicators, and Forecasting (1992). His most recent papers
are “Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?” (1998), “Theory and History
Behind Business Cycles” (1999), and “The Old and the New in U.S. Economic
Expansion” (2000). At The Conference Board, Dr. Zarnowitz is an advisor
to its economic research and its ongoing work on business cycle theory
and history. |
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